RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt odds
RB Leipzig went into the match as heavy favourites against Eintracht Frankfurt.
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RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt: closing odds analysis
- RB Leipzig were favourites: the closing odds implied a 60% chance of a home win, 21% for Eintracht Frankfurt and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: RB Leipzig 1.61 at VBET, the draw 5.00 at Stake, Eintracht Frankfurt 4.80 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Eintracht Frankfurt shortened from 5.00 at the opening to 4.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 70% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, RB Leipzig or Eintracht Frankfurt?
RB Leipzig, by a distance: the closing odds put 38.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on RB Leipzig, Stake on the draw and Stake on Eintracht Frankfurt. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.0%) and bwin the least (94.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | RB LEIPZIG | DRAW | EINTRACHT FRANKFURT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.58 | 5.00 best price | 4.80 best price | 96.0% |
| VBET | 1.61 best price | 4.70 | 4.60 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 1.60 | 4.75 | 4.40 | 94.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.61 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 97.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.58–1.61 · 1.9% | 4.70–5.00 · 6.4% | 4.40–4.80 · 9.1% | 94.1–96.0% |
How did the RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Eintracht Frankfurt shortened from 5.00 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 4.80 at kick-off, a 4.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RB LEIPZIG | DRAW | EINTRACHT FRANKFURT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 1.55 | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 1.56 | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 1.61 | 5.00 | 4.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 70.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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