Preston – Millwall odds
Millwall went into the match as narrow favourites against Preston.
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Preston – Millwall: closing odds analysis
- Millwall were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 34% for Preston and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Preston 2.95 at Stake, the draw 3.45 at Stake, Millwall 2.50 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.3%.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Preston or Millwall?
Millwall, but only just: the closing odds put 5.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Preston – Millwall?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Preston, Stake on the draw and bwin on Millwall. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.3%) and bwin the least (87.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | PRESTON | DRAW | MILLWALL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.95 best price | 3.45 best price | 2.26 | 93.3% |
| VBET | 2.90 | 3.41 | 2.16 | 90.8% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.50 best price | 87.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 97.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.25–2.95 · 31.1% | 3.40–3.45 · 1.5% | 2.16–2.50 · 15.7% | 87.8–93.3% |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 58.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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