Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen odds
Bayer Leverkusen went into the match as clear favourites against Mainz 05.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen: closing odds analysis
- Bayer Leverkusen were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of an away win, 31% for Mainz 05 and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Mainz 05 3.17 at VBET, the draw 3.75 at Stake, Bayer Leverkusen 2.21 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Mainz 05 drifted from 2.86 at the opening to 3.17 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 64% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen, clearly: the closing odds put 12.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Mainz 05, Stake on the draw and VBET on Bayer Leverkusen. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.1%) and bwin the least (93.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | MAINZ 05 | DRAW | BAYER LEVERKUSEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 3.17 best price | 3.67 | 2.21 best price | 96.1% |
| Stake | 3.05 | 3.75 best price | 2.19 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 93.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.17 | 3.75 | 2.21 | 96.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.00–3.17 · 5.7% | 3.60–3.75 · 4.2% | 2.19–2.21 · 0.9% | 93.8–96.1% |
How did the Mainz 05 – Bayer Leverkusen odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Mainz 05 drifted from 2.86 when odds opened on 21 Sep to 3.17 at kick-off, a 10.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MAINZ 05 | DRAW | BAYER LEVERKUSEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 21 Sep (open) | 2.86 | 3.85 | 2.25 |
| Thu 1 Oct | 2.95 | 3.85 | 2.25 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 3.17 | 3.75 | 2.21 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 63.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Bundesliga odds
- Bayern Munich – 1. FC KölnFri 20 Nov · 20:30
- Bayer Leverkusen – PaderbornSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Borussia Mönchengladbach – Borussia DortmundSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Eintracht Frankfurt – HoffenheimSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- SV Elversberg – FreiburgSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Union Berlin – RB LeipzigSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Schalke 04 – StuttgartSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Augsburg – Mainz 05Sun 22 Nov · 15:30
- Werder Bremen – Hamburger SVSun 22 Nov · 17:30
- Bundesliga odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.