Hobro IK – Kolding IF odds
Kolding IF went into the match as narrow favourites against Hobro IK.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Hobro IK – Kolding IF: closing odds analysis
- Kolding IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 32% for Hobro IK and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hobro IK 3.04 at VBET, the draw 3.50 at VBET, Kolding IF 2.30 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hobro IK drifted from 2.78 at the opening to 3.04 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hobro IK or Kolding IF?
Kolding IF, but only just: the closing odds put 8.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hobro IK – Kolding IF?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Hobro IK, VBET on the draw and bwin on Kolding IF. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | HOBRO IK | DRAW | KOLDING IF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 3.04 best price | 3.50 best price | 2.30 best price | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.27 | 91.1% |
| bwin | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.30 best price | 90.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.04 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 95.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.80–3.04 · 8.6% | 3.20–3.50 · 9.4% | 2.27–2.30 · 1.3% | 90.5–95.3% |
How did the Hobro IK – Kolding IF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hobro IK drifted from 2.78 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 3.04 at kick-off, a 9.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HOBRO IK | DRAW | KOLDING IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 2.78 | 3.33 | 2.50 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 3.04 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 51.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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