Hillerød Fodbold – FC Fredericia odds
FC Fredericia went into the match as heavy favourites against Hillerød Fodbold.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Hillerød Fodbold – FC Fredericia: closing odds analysis
- FC Fredericia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 65% chance of an away win, 16% for Hillerød Fodbold and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hillerød Fodbold 6.70 at VBET, the draw 4.90 at VBET, FC Fredericia 1.44 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hillerød Fodbold drifted from 5.30 at the opening to 6.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hillerød Fodbold or FC Fredericia?
FC Fredericia, by a distance: the closing odds put 48.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hillerød Fodbold – FC Fredericia?
VBET, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.4%) and Stake the least (88.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | HILLERØD FODBOLD | DRAW | FC FREDERICIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 6.70 best price | 4.90 best price | 1.44 best price | 95.4% |
| bwin | 5.75 | 4.60 | 1.43 | 91.7% |
| Stake | 5.25 | 4.45 | 1.40 | 88.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.70 | 4.90 | 1.44 | 95.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.25–6.70 · 27.6% | 4.45–4.90 · 10.1% | 1.40–1.44 · 2.9% | 88.5–95.4% |
How did the Hillerød Fodbold – FC Fredericia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hillerød Fodbold drifted from 5.30 when odds opened on 9 Oct to 6.70 at kick-off, a 26.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HILLERØD FODBOLD | DRAW | FC FREDERICIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 9 Oct (open) | 5.30 | 4.70 | 1.52 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 6.70 | 4.90 | 1.44 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 58.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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