Esbjerg fB – AaB odds
AaB went into the match as narrow favourites against Esbjerg fB.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Esbjerg fB – AaB: closing odds analysis
- AaB were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 35% for Esbjerg fB and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Esbjerg fB 2.71 at VBET, the draw 3.74 at VBET, AaB 2.42 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on AaB drifted from 2.16 at the opening to 2.42 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 63% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Esbjerg fB or AaB?
AaB, but only just: the closing odds put 4.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Esbjerg fB – AaB?
VBET, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | ESBJERG FB | DRAW | AAB | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.71 best price | 3.74 best price | 2.42 best price | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.28 | 90.8% |
| bwin | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 90.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.71 | 3.74 | 2.42 | 95.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–2.71 · 4.2% | 3.50–3.74 · 6.9% | 2.28–2.42 · 6.1% | 90.5–95.3% |
How did the Esbjerg fB – AaB odds move before kick-off?
The best price on AaB drifted from 2.16 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 2.42 at kick-off, a 12.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ESBJERG FB | DRAW | AAB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 3.06 | 3.70 | 2.16 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 2.71 | 3.74 | 2.42 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 63.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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