Brest – Angers odds
Brest went into the match as heavy favourites against Angers.
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Brest – Angers: closing odds analysis
- Brest were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 23% for Angers and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brest 1.88 at VBET, the draw 3.90 at Stake, Angers 4.20 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Angers drifted from 3.65 at the opening to 4.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brest or Angers?
Brest, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brest – Angers?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Brest, Stake on the draw and Stake on Angers. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.3%) and VBET the least (93.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | BREST | DRAW | ANGERS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.84 | 3.90 best price | 4.20 best price | 96.3% |
| bwin | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 94.3% |
| VBET | 1.88 best price | 3.55 | 3.90 | 93.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.88 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 97.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.83–1.88 · 2.7% | 3.55–3.90 · 9.9% | 3.90–4.20 · 7.7% | 93.5–96.3% |
How did the Brest – Angers odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Angers drifted from 3.65 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 4.20 at kick-off, a 15.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BREST | DRAW | ANGERS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 1.98 | 3.79 | 3.65 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 1.99 | 3.70 | 3.63 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 1.88 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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