Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City odds
Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 36% for Blackburn Rovers, 26% for a draw and 37% for Cardiff City.
- Best closing odds: Blackburn Rovers 2.65 at Stake, the draw 3.50 at Stake, Cardiff City 2.47 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Cardiff City shortened from 2.55 at the opening to 2.47 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Blackburn Rovers or Cardiff City?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.9 percentage points between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City?
Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.6%) and bwin the least (87.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | BLACKBURN ROVERS | DRAW | CARDIFF CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.65 best price | 3.50 best price | 2.47 best price | 93.6% |
| VBET | 2.55 | 3.36 | 2.44 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 87.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.47 | 93.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.30–2.65 · 15.2% | 3.36–3.50 · 4.2% | 2.40–2.47 · 2.9% | 87.3–93.6% |
How did the Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Cardiff City shortened from 2.55 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.47 at kick-off, a 3.1% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BLACKBURN ROVERS | DRAW | CARDIFF CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.70 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
| Wed 7 Oct | 2.70 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.47 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 59.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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