Arsenal – Leeds odds
Arsenal went into the match as heavy favourites against Leeds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Arsenal – Leeds: closing odds analysis
- Arsenal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 65% chance of a home win, 14% for Leeds and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Arsenal 1.47 at bwin, the draw 4.70 at Stake, Leeds 7.50 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Leeds shortened from 8.25 at the opening to 7.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 47% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Arsenal or Leeds?
Arsenal, by a distance: the closing odds put 51.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Arsenal – Leeds?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Arsenal, Stake on the draw and VBET on Leeds. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.7%) and bwin the least (94.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | ARSENAL | DRAW | LEEDS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.45 | 4.50 | 7.50 best price | 95.7% |
| Stake | 1.45 | 4.70 best price | 7.00 | 95.7% |
| bwin | 1.47 best price | 4.50 | 6.50 | 94.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.47 | 4.70 | 7.50 | 97.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.45–1.47 · 1.4% | 4.50–4.70 · 4.4% | 6.50–7.50 · 15.4% | 94.7–95.7% |
How did the Arsenal – Leeds odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Leeds shortened from 8.25 when odds opened on 21 Sep to 7.50 at kick-off, a 9.1% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ARSENAL | DRAW | LEEDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 21 Sep (open) | 1.37 | 5.00 | 8.25 |
| Thu 1 Oct | 1.40 | 5.00 | 8.25 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 1.47 | 4.70 | 7.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 47.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Premier League odds
- Man City – FulhamSat 21 Nov · 13:30
- Aston Villa – SunderlandSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Bournemouth – Nottingham ForestSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Chelsea – LeedsSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Coventry – Crystal PalaceSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Tottenham – IpswichSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Newcastle – ArsenalSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Hull – BrightonSun 22 Nov · 15:00
- Liverpool – Man UtdSun 22 Nov · 17:30
- Brentford – EvertonMon 23 Nov · 21:00
- Premier League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.