Vejle BK – Hvidovre IF odds
Vejle BK went into the match as heavy favourites against Hvidovre IF.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Vejle BK – Hvidovre IF: closing odds analysis
- Vejle BK were favourites: the closing odds implied a 54% chance of a home win, 23% for Hvidovre IF and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Vejle BK 1.77 at VBET, the draw 4.00 at bwin, Hvidovre IF 4.40 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hvidovre IF shortened from 5.20 at the opening to 4.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 65% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Vejle BK or Hvidovre IF?
Vejle BK, by a distance: the closing odds put 30.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Vejle BK – Hvidovre IF?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Vejle BK, bwin on the draw and VBET on Hvidovre IF. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.5%) and Stake the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | VEJLE BK | DRAW | HVIDOVRE IF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.77 best price | 3.92 | 4.40 best price | 95.5% |
| bwin | 1.70 | 4.00 best price | 3.90 | 91.4% |
| Stake | 1.71 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.77 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 95.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.70–1.77 · 4.1% | 3.90–4.00 · 2.6% | 3.90–4.40 · 12.8% | 91.1–95.5% |
How did the Vejle BK – Hvidovre IF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hvidovre IF shortened from 5.20 when odds opened on 8 Oct to 4.40 at kick-off, a 15.4% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VEJLE BK | DRAW | HVIDOVRE IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8 Oct (open) | 1.68 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| Fri 9 Oct | 1.71 | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| Fri 9 Oct (kick-off) | 1.77 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 64.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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