AB Gladsaxe – Aarhus Fremad odds
AB Gladsaxe went into the match as clear favourites against Aarhus Fremad.
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2nd Half
AB Gladsaxe – Aarhus Fremad: closing odds analysis
- AB Gladsaxe were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of a home win, 26% for Aarhus Fremad and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: AB Gladsaxe 1.95 at Stake, the draw 3.81 at VBET, Aarhus Fremad 3.69 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 3.17 at the opening to 3.69 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, AB Gladsaxe or Aarhus Fremad?
AB Gladsaxe, clearly: the closing odds put 21.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on AB Gladsaxe – Aarhus Fremad?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on AB Gladsaxe, VBET on the draw and VBET on Aarhus Fremad. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.1%) and Stake the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | AB GLADSAXE | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.93 | 3.81 best price | 3.69 best price | 95.1% |
| bwin | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 91.1% |
| Stake | 1.95 best price | 3.45 | 3.35 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.95 | 3.81 | 3.69 | 95.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.90–1.95 · 2.6% | 3.45–3.81 · 10.4% | 3.35–3.69 · 10.1% | 90.8–95.1% |
How did the AB Gladsaxe – Aarhus Fremad odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 3.17 when odds opened on 7 Oct to 3.69 at kick-off, a 16.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | AB GLADSAXE | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 7 Oct (open) | 2.14 | 3.62 | 3.17 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 2.14 | 3.62 | 3.17 |
| Fri 9 Oct (kick-off) | 1.95 | 3.81 | 3.69 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 59.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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