Wingate & Finchley – Bedford Town odds
Bedford Town went into the match as clear favourites against Wingate & Finchley.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Wingate & Finchley – Bedford Town: closing odds analysis
- Bedford Town were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of an away win, 29% for Wingate & Finchley and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Wingate & Finchley 3.20 at bwin, the draw 4.20 at VBET, Bedford Town 2.10 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.65 at the opening to 4.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 64% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Wingate & Finchley or Bedford Town?
Bedford Town, clearly: the closing odds put 18.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Wingate & Finchley – Bedford Town?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Wingate & Finchley, VBET on the draw and bwin on Bedford Town. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.4%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | WINGATE & FINCHLEY | DRAW | BEDFORD TOWN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.20 best price | 3.70 | 2.10 best price | 94.4% |
| Stake | 3.00 | 4.10 | 1.91 | 90.8% |
| VBET | 3.19 | 4.20 best price | 1.82 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.20 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 97.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.00–3.20 · 6.7% | 3.70–4.20 · 13.5% | 1.82–2.10 · 15.4% | 90.8–94.4% |
How did the Wingate & Finchley – Bedford Town odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.65 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 4.20 at kick-off, a 15.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WINGATE & FINCHLEY | DRAW | BEDFORD TOWN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.35 |
| Tue 6 Oct | 3.20 | 4.20 | 2.10 |
| Tue 6 Oct (kick-off) | 3.20 | 4.20 | 2.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 64.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More FA Cup odds
- Plymouth Parkway – BerkhamstedIn play · closing odds
- FA Cup odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.