Scarborough Athletic – Macclesfield odds
Macclesfield went into the match as narrow favourites against Scarborough Athletic.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Scarborough Athletic – Macclesfield: closing odds analysis
- Macclesfield were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of an away win, 32% for Scarborough Athletic and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Scarborough Athletic 3.00 at bwin, the draw 3.75 at Stake, Macclesfield 2.35 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Macclesfield shortened from 2.50 at the opening to 2.35 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Scarborough Athletic or Macclesfield?
Macclesfield, but only just: the closing odds put 10.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Scarborough Athletic – Macclesfield?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Scarborough Athletic, Stake on the draw and bwin on Macclesfield. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.0%) and Stake the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | SCARBOROUGH ATHLETIC | DRAW | MACCLESFIELD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.00 best price | 3.40 | 2.35 best price | 95.0% |
| VBET | 3.00 best price | 3.64 | 2.03 | 90.9% |
| Stake | 2.70 | 3.75 best price | 2.15 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.00 | 3.75 | 2.35 | 97.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.70–3.00 · 11.1% | 3.40–3.75 · 10.3% | 2.03–2.35 · 15.8% | 90.7–95.0% |
How did the Scarborough Athletic – Macclesfield odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Macclesfield shortened from 2.50 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.35 at kick-off, a 6.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SCARBOROUGH ATHLETIC | DRAW | MACCLESFIELD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.87 | 3.55 | 2.50 |
| Tue 6 Oct | 3.00 | 3.75 | 2.35 |
| Tue 6 Oct (kick-off) | 3.00 | 3.75 | 2.35 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 62.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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