Atherton Collieries – Trafford odds
Atherton Collieries went into the match as narrow favourites against Trafford.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Atherton Collieries – Trafford: closing odds analysis
- Atherton Collieries were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of a home win, 34% for Trafford and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Atherton Collieries 2.30 at bwin, the draw 4.10 at Stake, Trafford 2.85 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Trafford shortened from 3.40 at the opening to 2.85 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 70% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Atherton Collieries or Trafford?
Atherton Collieries, but only just: the closing odds put 7.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Atherton Collieries – Trafford?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Atherton Collieries, Stake on the draw and bwin on Trafford. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.7%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | ATHERTON COLLIERIES | DRAW | TRAFFORD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.30 best price | 3.70 | 2.85 best price | 94.7% |
| Stake | 2.10 | 4.10 best price | 2.65 | 91.1% |
| VBET | 2.19 | 3.93 | 2.58 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.30 | 4.10 | 2.85 | 97.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.10–2.30 · 9.5% | 3.70–4.10 · 10.8% | 2.58–2.85 · 10.5% | 91.0–94.7% |
How did the Atherton Collieries – Trafford odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Trafford shortened from 3.40 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.85 at kick-off, a 16.2% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ATHERTON COLLIERIES | DRAW | TRAFFORD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.10 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| Tue 6 Oct | 2.25 | 4.10 | 2.95 |
| Tue 6 Oct (kick-off) | 2.30 | 4.10 | 2.85 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 69.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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