Norwich City – Bolton odds
Norwich City went into the match as heavy favourites against Bolton.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Norwich City – Bolton: closing odds analysis
- Norwich City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of a home win, 18% for Bolton and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Norwich City 1.68 at bwin, the draw 4.30 at Stake, Bolton 5.20 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.9%.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Norwich City or Bolton?
Norwich City, by a distance: the closing odds put 40.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Norwich City – Bolton?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Norwich City, Stake on the draw and Stake on Bolton. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (93.9%) and VBET the least (88.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | NORWICH CITY | DRAW | BOLTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.68 best price | 3.70 | 5.00 | 93.9% |
| Stake | 1.53 | 4.30 best price | 5.20 best price | 92.7% |
| VBET | 1.47 | 4.10 | 4.85 | 88.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.68 | 4.30 | 5.20 | 98.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.47–1.68 · 14.3% | 3.70–4.30 · 16.2% | 4.85–5.20 · 7.2% | 88.5–93.9% |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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