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SERIE A · SUN 20 SEP · 20:45

AC Milan – Lecce odds

AC Milan went into the match as heavy favourites against Lecce.

198 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
AC Milan 75%Draw 17%Lecce 9%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
95.7%
vs 94.4% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.28
Draw5.80
Lecce11.00

Double Chance

3 outcomes
AC Milan / Draw1.07
AC Milan / Lecce1.16
Draw / Lecce3.90

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.05
Under 0.51.77

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.27
Under 1.53.40

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.77
Under 2.51.93

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.75
Under 3.51.38

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.51.35
Under 4.52.90

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.51.66
Under 5.52.05

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.52.15
Under 6.51.61

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.40
Under 7.52.70

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.71
Under 8.52.00

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.52.20
Under 9.51.60

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.90
Under 10.51.36

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.54.10
Under 11.51.20

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes2.25
No1.65

Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
AC Milan1.07
Lecce8.25

Away No Bet

2 outcomes
AC Milan1.16
Draw4.75

Lecce to Score & Result

5 outcomes
Yes & AC Milan2.77
No & AC Milan1.77
Yes & Draw6.20
No & Draw12.00
Yes & Lecce7.90

Both Teams to Score & Either Team to Win

2 outcomes
Yes2.90
No1.36

Both Teams to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes11.00
No1.01

Both Teams to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes24.00
Yes/No6.20
No/Yes4.70
No/No1.38

Lecce to Come from Behind

2 outcomes
Yes9.00
No1.01

AC Milan to Come from Behind

2 outcomes
Yes6.20
No1.06

Double Chance & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
1X & Yes2.35
1X & No1.74
12 & Yes2.90
12 & No1.73
X2 & Yes5.50
X2 & No8.25

Both Halves Won by Different Teams

2 outcomes
Yes6.30
No1.08

Draw in at Least One Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.76
No1.94

Exact Goals

7 outcomes
010.65
15.10
23.83
33.34
44.75
56.40
6+8.00

Lecce Exact Goals

4 outcomes
01.76
12.65
28.00
3+30.00

AC Milan Exact Goals

4 outcomes
09.00
14.00
23.40
3+2.20

First Goal Method

6 outcomes
By Header5.40
By Other Method1.35
By Free Kick15.00
By Penalty Kick6.70
Own Goal29.00
No Goal11.00

First Team to Score & Result

7 outcomes
AC Milan & AC Milan—
AC Milan & Draw—
AC Milan & Lecce—
Lecce & AC Milan—
Lecce & Draw—
Lecce & Lecce—
No Goal10.65

Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 14.30
2 or 31.90
4 to 62.47
7 or more12.10

Lecce Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.11
2 or 35.30
4 to 691.00
7 or more226.00

AC Milan Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 12.90
2 or 31.81
4 to 63.56
7 or more41.00

Goal in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes1.57
No2.25

Goal Range

4 outcomes
0-14.30
2-32.04
4-53.30
6+10.00

1st Half / 2nd Half Result

9 outcomes
AC Milan / AC Milan2.33
AC Milan / Draw4.50
AC Milan / Lecce11.00
Draw / AC Milan3.41
Draw / Draw6.70
Draw / Lecce15.00
Lecce / AC Milan9.80
Lecce / Draw19.00
Lecce / Lecce46.00

Lecce Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half5.00
2nd Half3.90
Equal1.61

Highest Scoring Half Double Chance

3 outcomes
1st or Equal1.14
1st or 2nd1.05
2nd or Equal1.06

AC Milan Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half2.90
2nd Half2.31
Equal3.30

Home No Bet

2 outcomes
Draw1.40
Lecce2.75

AC Milan to Score & Result

5 outcomes
Yes & AC Milan1.25
Yes & Draw6.50
No & Draw10.65
Yes & Lecce15.00
No & Lecce10.30

Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.27
Lecce4.30
No Goal16.00

Lecce Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.92
1-31.84
1-41.83
2-35.30
2-45.20
3-419.00
Any Other1.64

AC Milan Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.78
1-31.33
1-41.17
2-31.81
2-41.50
3-42.41
Any Other4.42

Lecce Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.90
1-31.82
2-35.80
4+201.00
No Goal1.76

AC Milan Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.72
1-31.30
2-31.76
4+4.00
No Goal9.00

Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
AC Milan & Yes3.20
AC Milan & No1.87
Draw & Yes6.75
Draw & No13.50
Lecce & Yes18.00
Lecce & No15.00

Result & Exact Total Goals

12 outcomes
AC Milan & 1 goal6.15
AC Milan & 2 goals4.90
AC Milan & 3 goals3.67
AC Milan & 4+ goals2.55
Draw & 0 goals10.65
Draw & 2 goals8.30
Draw & 4 goals19.00
Draw & 6+ goals71.00
Lecce & 1 goal17.00
Lecce & 2 goals41.00
Lecce & 3 goals21.00
Lecce & 4+ goals34.00

Lecce to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes8.50
No1.04

AC Milan to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes1.93
No1.78

Score Draw

2 outcomes
Yes6.50
No1.08

Lecce to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes8.80
Yes/No4.40
No/Yes3.19
No/No1.64

AC Milan to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes1.93
Yes/No4.30
No/Yes2.89
No/No7.00

Lecce Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd2.60
Even1.48

AC Milan Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.91
Even1.87

Lecce to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.99
No1.76

AC Milan to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.06
No7.70

Lecce to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes9.00
No1.03

AC Milan to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes10.80
No1.01

Result & Both Teams to Score (Yes only)

3 outcomes
AC Milan & Yes3.20
Lecce & Yes18.00
Draw & Yes6.75

Lecce Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes3.90
No1.21

AC Milan Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes2.35
No1.53

AC Milan Win by 2 or 3

2 outcomes
Yes2.37
No1.52

Lecce to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes4.50
No1.19

AC Milan to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.16
No5.00

Winning Margin

7 outcomes
AC Milan by 1—
AC Milan by 2—
AC Milan by 3+—
Lecce by 1—
Lecce by 2—
Lecce by 3+—
Draw5.80

Lecce Winning Margin

4 outcomes
by 19.00
by 229.00
by 3111.00
by 4+226.00

Winning Margin (with Draw Split)

10 outcomes
AC Milan by exactly 13.60
AC Milan by exactly 23.90
AC Milan by exactly 35.25
AC Milan by 4 or more5.25
Lecce by exactly 112.00
Lecce by exactly 229.00
Lecce by exactly 367.00
Lecce by 4 or more151.00
Score draw6.75
No goal13.50

AC Milan Winning Margin

4 outcomes
by 13.65
by 23.34
by 34.40
by 4+4.60

Both Halves Over 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes4.20
No1.19

Both Halves Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes2.80
No1.38

Double Chance & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 1.51.26
1X & Under 1.54.80
12 & Over 1.51.37
12 & Under 1.55.25
X2 & Over 1.55.25
X2 & Under 1.59.50

Result & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
AC Milan & Over 1.51.47
AC Milan & Under 1.56.25
Draw & Over 1.56.75
Draw & Under 1.513.50
Lecce & Over 1.514.00
Lecce & Under 1.519.50

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 2.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 2.52.65
Yes & Under 2.59.00
No & Over 2.53.70
No & Under 2.52.55

Double Chance & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 2.51.73
1X & Under 2.52.30
12 & Over 2.51.72
12 & Under 2.52.90
X2 & Over 2.510.50
X2 & Under 2.54.80

Result & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
AC Milan & Over 2.51.83
AC Milan & Under 2.53.30
Draw & Over 2.518.50
Draw & Under 2.56.25
Lecce & Over 2.516.50
Lecce & Under 2.515.50

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 3.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 3.53.80
Yes & Under 3.54.33
No & Over 3.56.50
No & Under 3.51.98

Double Chance & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 3.52.65
1X & Under 3.51.58
12 & Over 3.52.80
12 & Under 3.51.77
X2 & Over 3.514.50
X2 & Under 3.54.33

Result & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
AC Milan & Over 3.52.90
AC Milan & Under 3.51.98
Draw & Over 3.518.50
Draw & Under 3.56.25
Lecce & Over 3.534.00
Lecce & Under 3.511.00

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 4.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 4.56.25
Yes & Under 4.53.00
No & Over 4.512.00
No & Under 4.51.75

Double Chance & Over/Under 4.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 4.54.75
1X & Under 4.51.27
12 & Over 4.54.60
12 & Under 4.51.42
X2 & Over 4.536.00
X2 & Under 4.53.80

Result & Over/Under 4.5

6 outcomes
AC Milan & Over 4.54.80
AC Milan & Under 4.51.57
Draw & Over 4.556.00
Draw & Under 4.55.25
Lecce & Over 4.546.00
Lecce & Under 4.510.50

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 5.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 5.511.00
Yes & Under 5.52.50
No & Over 5.523.00
No & Under 5.51.65

Handicap -3

3 outcomes
AC Milan (-3)5.25
Draw5.25
Lecce (+3)1.37

Handicap -2

3 outcomes
AC Milan (-2)2.85
Draw3.90
Lecce (+2)1.93

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
AC Milan (-1)1.75
Draw3.60
Lecce (+1)3.60

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.16
Under 1.255.20

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.54.30

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.25
Under 1.753.90

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.30
Under 23.45

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.47
Under 2.252.60

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.65
Under 2.52.21

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.751.81
Under 2.751.97

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.07
Under 31.74

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.252.34
Under 3.251.58

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.60
Under 3.51.48

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.753.10
Under 3.751.36

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 43.95
Under 41.24

AC Milan Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.10
Under 0.57.40

AC Milan Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.40
Under 1.52.90

AC Milan Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.20
Under 2.51.65

AC Milan Over/Under 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.54.00
Under 3.51.23

Lecce Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.03
Under 0.51.76

Lecce Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.56.20
Under 1.51.11

Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.88
Even1.89

AC Milan Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes1.94
No1.84

Lecce Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes18.00
No1.02

AC Milan Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.76
No1.99

Lecce Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes9.00
No1.07

Half Time / Full Time

9 outcomes
AC Milan / AC Milan1.80
AC Milan / Draw20.00
AC Milan / Lecce67.00
Draw / AC Milan4.10
Draw / Draw8.25
Draw / Lecce21.00
Lecce / AC Milan23.00
Lecce / Draw21.00
Lecce / Lecce17.50

AC Milan to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes2.70
No1.46

Lecce to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes16.00
No1.01

First Team to Score

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.27
Lecce4.40
No goal16.00

Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st half2.90
2nd half2.14
Equal3.75

Correct Score

54 outcomes
0-016.00
0-124.00
0-280.00
0-3351.00
0-41001.00
1-06.75
1-112.00
1-230.00
1-3151.00
1-41001.00
2-06.25
2-18.80
2-229.00
2-3126.00
2-4751.00
3-07.50
3-111.50
3-235.00
3-3151.00
3-41001.00
4-012.00
4-118.00
4-260.00
4-3301.00
4-41001.00
Any other score8.40
5-019.00
6-036.00
7-071.00
8-0101.00
9-0176.00
10-0226.00
5-129.00
6-151.00
7-181.00
8-1151.00
9-1226.00
5-261.00
6-2101.00
7-2151.00
8-2226.00
5-3151.00
6-3201.00
1-5201.00
1-6301.00
7-3276.00
3-5276.00
10-1276.00
5-4251.00
6-4301.00
2-5301.00
0-5301.00
4-5201.00
5-5201.00

Penalty Awarded

2 outcomes
Yes3.10
No1.32

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.68
Draw2.80
Lecce9.60

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
AC Milan / Draw1.09
AC Milan / Lecce1.45
Draw / Lecce2.18

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes5.35
No1.15

1st Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
AC Milan1.13
Lecce5.80

1st Half — First Team to Score & Result

7 outcomes
AC Milan & AC Milan1.63
AC Milan & Draw3.47
AC Milan & Lecce96.00
Lecce & AC Milan26.00
Lecce & Draw7.50
Lecce & Lecce6.90
No Goal12.00

1st Half — Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.43
2 or 32.44
4 to 613.00
7 or more29.00

1st Half — Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.54
Lecce5.30
No Goal3.15

1st Half — Lecce Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-23.32
1-33.30
1-43.75
2-35.70
2-417.00
3-4141.00
Any Other1.23

1st Half — AC Milan Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.59
1-31.45
1-41.42
2-32.86
2-42.81
3-47.60
Any Other2.25

1st Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.52
1-31.34
1-41.29
2-32.44
2-42.26
3-45.20
Any Other2.74

1st Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.31
Under 0.53.04

1st Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
AC Milan & Yes10.00
AC Milan & No1.86
Draw & Yes8.30
Draw & No3.15
Lecce & Yes36.00
Lecce & No7.50

1st Half — Lecce to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.75
No1.23

1st Half — AC Milan to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.47
No2.50

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.29
Under 0.53.65

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.38
Under 0.753.00

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.56
Under 12.39

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.96
Under 1.251.82

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.35
Under 1.51.58

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.90
Under 1.751.40

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 24.20
Under 21.22

1st Half — AC Milan Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.44
Under 0.52.75

1st Half — AC Milan Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.05
Under 1.51.36

1st Half — AC Milan Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.57.80
Under 2.51.08

1st Half — Lecce Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.53.65
Under 0.51.27

1st Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.99
Even1.79

1st Half — AC Milan Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes1.86
No1.84

1st Half — Lecce Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes7.50
No1.05

1st Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.59
Lecce5.80
No goal3.65

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.65
0-111.00
0-270.00
1-03.05
1-19.60
1-270.00
2-05.00
2-117.00
2-2126.00
Any other score7.60
0-3201.00
1-3201.00
2-3201.00
3-011.00
3-134.00
3-2176.00
3-3201.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.58
Draw3.20
Lecce8.60

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
AC Milan / Draw1.11
AC Milan / Lecce1.37
Draw / Lecce2.40

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.20
No1.23

2nd Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
AC Milan1.14
Lecce5.60

2nd Half — First Team to Score & Result

7 outcomes
AC Milan & AC Milan1.66
AC Milan & Draw4.10
AC Milan & Lecce10.00
Lecce & AC Milan6.40
Lecce & Draw11.00
Lecce & Lecce14.00
No Goal12.00

2nd Half — Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.89
2 or 32.01
4 to 66.80
7 or more29.00

2nd Half — Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.39
Lecce4.40
No Goal4.57

2nd Half — Lecce Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.66
1-32.62
1-42.87
2-311.00
2-411.00
3-467.00
Any Other1.36

2nd Half — AC Milan Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.52
1-31.32
1-41.27
2-32.34
2-42.16
3-44.80
Any Other2.87

2nd Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.55
1-31.28
1-41.19
2-32.01
2-41.78
3-43.41
Any Other3.52

2nd Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.16
Under 0.54.57

2nd Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
AC Milan & Yes6.20
AC Milan & No1.68
Draw & Yes6.50
Draw & No4.57
Lecce & Yes25.00
Lecce & No8.00

2nd Half — Lecce to Score

2 outcomes
Yes2.87
No1.36

2nd Half — AC Milan to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.28
No3.30

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.24
Under 0.54.20

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.30
Under 0.753.40

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.35
Under 13.15

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.65
Under 1.252.21

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.94
Under 1.51.84

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.28
Under 1.751.61

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 23.00
Under 21.38

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.253.45
Under 2.251.30

2nd Half — AC Milan Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.34
Under 0.53.20

2nd Half — AC Milan Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.50
Under 1.51.51

2nd Half — AC Milan Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.55.80
Under 2.51.13

2nd Half — Lecce Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.53.10
Under 0.51.36

2nd Half — Lecce Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.512.00
Under 1.51.03

2nd Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.96
Even1.82

2nd Half — AC Milan Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes1.79
No1.91

2nd Half — Lecce Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes7.85
No1.05

2nd Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.52
Lecce5.40
No goal4.70

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-04.70
0-110.00
0-250.00
1-03.20
1-18.80
1-250.00
2-04.70
2-114.00
2-280.00
Any other score5.20
0-3151.00
1-3176.00
2-3176.00
3-08.20
3-119.00
3-276.00
3-3201.00

Corners

First Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
AC Milan—
Lecce—
No corner101.00

Corners Result

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.19
Draw8.90
Lecce6.20

1st Half — Corners Result

3 outcomes
AC Milan1.35
Draw5.50
Lecce5.10

Total Corners Bands

5 outcomes
5 or less5.50
6 - 82.34
9 - 112.34
12 - 144.40
15 or more9.70

Lecce Corner Bands

4 outcomes
0-21.98
3-42.55
5-65.60
7+15.00

Total Corners Range (3-Way)

3 outcomes
0-82.04
9-112.90
12+4.10

AC Milan Corner Bands

4 outcomes
0-29.60
3-43.85
5-63.10
7+2.20

Half with the Most Corners

3 outcomes
1st Half2.36
2nd Half1.61
Equal6.40

Corners Odd/Even

2 outcomes
Odd1.85
Even1.85

First Corner

2 outcomes
AC Milan1.29
Lecce3.25

Last Corner

2 outcomes
AC Milan1.41
Lecce2.80

1st Half — Last Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
AC Milan—
Lecce—
None40.00

Cards

Yellow Cards Result

3 outcomes
AC Milan3.75
Draw4.10
Lecce1.66

Yellow Cards Double Chance

3 outcomes
1X2.08
121.21
X21.23

First Yellow Card

2 outcomes
AC Milan2.43
Lecce1.53

Last Yellow Card

2 outcomes
AC Milan2.43
Lecce1.53

Penalty & Red Card

2 outcomes
Yes10.00
No1.02

Lecce Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes7.50
No1.06

AC Milan Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes9.70
No1.02

AC Milan – Lecce: closing odds analysis

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • AC Milan were favourites: the closing odds implied a 75% chance of a home win, 9% for Lecce and 17% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: AC Milan 1.28 at bwin, the draw 5.80 at Stake, Lecce 11.00 at bwin.
  • bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.6%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Lecce drifted from 9.20 at the opening to 11.00 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 43% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, AC Milan or Lecce?

AC Milan, by a distance: the closing odds put 66.1 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on AC Milan – Lecce?

It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on AC Milan, Stake on the draw and bwin on Lecce. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.6%) and VBET the least (92.9%).

AC Milan – Lecce: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERAC MILANDRAWLECCEPAYOUT
bwin1.28 best price5.7511.00 best price95.6%
Stake1.265.80 best price11.00 best price94.6%
VBET1.255.4011.00 best price92.9%
BEST PRICE1.285.8011.0095.7%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH1.25–1.28 · 2.4%5.40–5.80 · 7.4%11.00–11.00 · 0.0%92.9–95.6%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
The draw had the widest spread: 5.40 to 5.80 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 7.4%.

How did the AC Milan – Lecce odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Lecce drifted from 9.20 when odds opened on 7 Sep to 11.00 at kick-off, a 19.6% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
5.0010.007 Sep14 Sep20 Sep11.005.801.28
DATA
BEST PRICE ATAC MILANDRAWLECCE
Mon 7 Sep (open)1.375.209.20
Mon 14 Sep1.295.6011.00
Sun 20 Sep (kick-off)1.285.8011.00

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 42.6%.

  • Both teams score43%
What the odds imply for each goal line in AC Milan – Lecce.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

More Serie A odds

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