Roma – Inter odds
Roma and Inter went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Roma – Inter: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 35% for Roma, 27% for a draw and 37% for Inter.
- Best closing odds: Roma 2.70 at Stake, the draw 3.50 at bwin, Inter 2.52 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Inter shortened from 2.83 at the opening to 2.52 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Roma or Inter?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 2.2 percentage points between Roma and Inter.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Roma – Inter?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Roma, bwin on the draw and VBET on Inter. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.2%) and VBET the least (92.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | ROMA | DRAW | INTER | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.70 best price | 3.45 | 2.49 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 2.65 | 3.50 best price | 2.50 | 94.1% |
| VBET | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.52 best price | 92.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.52 | 95.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.63–2.70 · 2.7% | 3.30–3.50 · 6.1% | 2.49–2.52 · 1.2% | 92.6–94.2% |
How did the Roma – Inter odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Inter shortened from 2.83 when odds opened on 7 Sep to 2.52 at kick-off, a 11.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ROMA | DRAW | INTER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 Sep (open) | 2.60 | 3.45 | 2.83 |
| Sun 13 Sep | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.66 |
| Sat 19 Sep (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.52 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 62.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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