Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers odds
Portsmouth went into the match as clear favourites against Blackburn Rovers.
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Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers: closing odds analysis
- Portsmouth were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 27% for Blackburn Rovers and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Portsmouth 2.30 at bwin, the draw 3.35 at Stake, Blackburn Rovers 3.50 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.9%.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Portsmouth or Blackburn Rovers?
Portsmouth, clearly: the closing odds put 16.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Portsmouth, Stake on the draw and bwin on Blackburn Rovers. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (93.9%) and VBET the least (88.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | PORTSMOUTH | DRAW | BLACKBURN ROVERS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.30 best price | 2.90 | 3.50 best price | 93.9% |
| Stake | 2.08 | 3.35 best price | 3.35 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 1.94 | 3.23 | 3.30 | 88.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.50 | 98.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.94–2.30 · 18.6% | 2.90–3.35 · 15.5% | 3.30–3.50 · 6.1% | 88.6–93.9% |
How did the Portsmouth – Blackburn Rovers odds move before kick-off?
The best prices barely moved between the opening on 15 Sep and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 0.0%.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PORTSMOUTH | DRAW | BLACKBURN ROVERS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 15 Sep (open) | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| Thu 17 Sep | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| Sat 19 Sep (kick-off) | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 51.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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