Nottingham Forest – Coventry odds
Nottingham Forest went into the match as heavy favourites against Coventry.
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Nottingham Forest – Coventry: closing odds analysis
- Nottingham Forest were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of a home win, 18% for Coventry and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Nottingham Forest 1.62 at bwin, the draw 4.00 at bwin, Coventry 5.25 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Coventry drifted from 4.40 at the opening to 5.25 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Nottingham Forest or Coventry?
Nottingham Forest, by a distance: the closing odds put 40.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Nottingham Forest – Coventry?
bwin, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.5%) and VBET the least (92.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | NOTTINGHAM FOREST | DRAW | COVENTRY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.62 best price | 4.00 best price | 5.25 best price | 94.5% |
| Stake | 1.62 best price | 4.00 best price | 5.20 | 94.4% |
| VBET | 1.57 | 3.98 | 5.20 | 92.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 94.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.57–1.62 · 3.2% | 3.98–4.00 · 0.5% | 5.20–5.25 · 1.0% | 92.5–94.5% |
How did the Nottingham Forest – Coventry odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Coventry drifted from 4.40 when odds opened on 7 Sep to 5.25 at kick-off, a 19.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | NOTTINGHAM FOREST | DRAW | COVENTRY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 Sep (open) | 1.82 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Sun 13 Sep | 1.77 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| Sat 19 Sep (kick-off) | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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