Lincoln City – Swansea City odds
Swansea City went into the match as narrow favourites against Lincoln City.
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Lincoln City – Swansea City: closing odds analysis
- Swansea City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 38% chance of an away win, 33% for Lincoln City and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lincoln City 2.90 at bwin, the draw 3.35 at Stake, Swansea City 2.55 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lincoln City drifted from 2.80 at the opening to 2.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lincoln City or Swansea City?
Swansea City, but only just: the closing odds put 4.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lincoln City – Swansea City?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Lincoln City, Stake on the draw and bwin on Swansea City. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (92.9%) and VBET the least (88.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | LINCOLN CITY | DRAW | SWANSEA CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.90 best price | 2.95 | 2.55 best price | 92.9% |
| Stake | 2.75 | 3.35 best price | 2.40 | 92.7% |
| VBET | 2.62 | 3.21 | 2.29 | 88.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.90 | 3.35 | 2.55 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.62–2.90 · 10.7% | 2.95–3.35 · 13.6% | 2.29–2.55 · 11.4% | 88.5–92.9% |
How did the Lincoln City – Swansea City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lincoln City drifted from 2.80 when odds opened on 15 Sep to 2.90 at kick-off, a 3.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LINCOLN CITY | DRAW | SWANSEA CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 15 Sep (open) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Thu 17 Sep | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
| Sat 19 Sep (kick-off) | 2.90 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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