Eintracht Frankfurt – Freiburg odds
Eintracht Frankfurt went into the match as narrow favourites against Freiburg.
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Eintracht Frankfurt – Freiburg: closing odds analysis
- Eintracht Frankfurt were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 35% for Freiburg and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.39 at Stake, the draw 3.81 at VBET, Freiburg 2.70 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Freiburg shortened from 2.85 at the opening to 2.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 67% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Eintracht Frankfurt or Freiburg?
Eintracht Frankfurt, but only just: the closing odds put 5.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Eintracht Frankfurt – Freiburg?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Eintracht Frankfurt, VBET on the draw and bwin on Freiburg. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.4%) and VBET the least (92.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | EINTRACHT FRANKFURT | DRAW | FREIBURG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.39 best price | 3.80 | 2.65 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.70 best price | 93.3% |
| VBET | 2.29 | 3.81 best price | 2.63 | 92.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.39 | 3.81 | 2.70 | 95.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.29–2.39 · 4.4% | 3.75–3.81 · 1.6% | 2.63–2.70 · 2.7% | 92.6–94.4% |
How did the Eintracht Frankfurt – Freiburg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Freiburg shortened from 2.85 when odds opened on 7 Sep to 2.70 at kick-off, a 5.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | EINTRACHT FRANKFURT | DRAW | FREIBURG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 Sep (open) | 2.32 | 3.72 | 2.85 |
| Sun 13 Sep | 2.34 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Sat 19 Sep (kick-off) | 2.39 | 3.81 | 2.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 66.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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