Celta Vigo – Racing Santander odds
Celta Vigo went into the match as heavy favourites against Racing Santander.
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Celta Vigo – Racing Santander: closing odds analysis
- Celta Vigo were favourites: the closing odds implied a 52% chance of a home win, 24% for Racing Santander and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Celta Vigo 1.83 at bwin, the draw 3.90 at bwin, Racing Santander 3.95 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Racing Santander shortened from 4.40 at the opening to 3.95 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celta Vigo or Racing Santander?
Celta Vigo, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celta Vigo – Racing Santander?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Celta Vigo, bwin on the draw and Stake on Racing Santander. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.4%) and VBET the least (92.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.83 best price | 3.90 best price | 3.90 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 1.83 best price | 3.85 | 3.95 best price | 94.4% |
| VBET | 1.78 | 3.88 | 3.82 | 92.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.95 | 94.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.78–1.83 · 2.8% | 3.85–3.90 · 1.3% | 3.82–3.95 · 3.4% | 92.5–94.4% |
How did the Celta Vigo – Racing Santander odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Racing Santander shortened from 4.40 when odds opened on 13 Sep to 3.95 at kick-off, a 10.2% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 13 Sep (open) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
| Wed 16 Sep | 1.83 | 3.93 | 4.00 |
| Sat 19 Sep (kick-off) | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.95 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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