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CHAMPIONSHIP · SAT 19 SEP · 16:00

Burnley – Derby County odds

Burnley went into the match as heavy favourites against Derby County.

144 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Burnley 50%Draw 27%Derby County 23%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
97.4%
vs 91.7% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Burnley1.98
Draw3.60
Derby County4.10

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Burnley / Draw1.24
Burnley / Derby County1.30
Draw / Derby County1.95

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.44
Under 0.52.60

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.25
Under 1.51.31

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.25
Under 2.53.50

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.58
Under 3.52.15

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.15
Under 4.51.57

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.51.80
Under 5.51.85

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.52.40
Under 6.51.47

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.21
Under 7.53.90

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.38
Under 8.52.70

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.66
Under 9.52.00

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.10
Under 10.51.61

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.52.75
Under 11.51.36

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.53.80
Under 12.51.21

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.75
No2.00

Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Burnley1.35
Derby County3.00

Away No Bet

2 outcomes
Burnley1.39
Draw2.75

Both Teams to Score & Either Team to Win

2 outcomes
Yes2.55
No1.44

Both Teams to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes12.00
No1.03

Both Teams to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes16.00
Yes/No5.60
No/Yes4.00
No/No1.53

Double Chance & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
1X & Yes2.10
1X & No2.60
12 & Yes2.55
12 & No2.25
X2 & Yes2.95
X2 & No4.75

Draw in at Least One Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.52
No2.37

Exact Goals

7 outcomes
012.00
14.80
23.47
33.85
45.40
59.10
6+12.00

Derby County Exact Goals

4 outcomes
02.50
12.40
24.50
3+10.00

Exact Number of Goals

9 outcomes
No goal11.00
1 goal4.80
2 goals3.50
3 goals3.90
4 goals5.25
5 goals9.00
6 goals16.00
7 goals29.00
8 or more goals41.00

Burnley Exact Goals

4 outcomes
04.70
12.85
23.35
3+3.60

First Goal Method

6 outcomes
By Header5.90
By Other Method1.41
By Free Kick17.00
By Penalty Kick7.30
Own Goal34.00
No Goal10.00

First Team to Score & Result

7 outcomes
Burnley & Burnley—
Burnley & Draw—
Burnley & Derby County—
Derby County & Burnley—
Derby County & Draw—
Derby County & Derby County—
No Goal12.00

Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 13.41
2 or 31.92
4 to 63.06
7 or more29.00

Derby County Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.29
2 or 33.18
4 to 626.00
7 or more351.00

Burnley Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.80
2 or 32.09
4 to 67.70
7 or more201.00

Goal in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes1.65
No1.95

Goal Range

4 outcomes
0-13.55
2-31.95
4-53.70
6+14.00

1st Half / 2nd Half Result

9 outcomes
Burnley / Burnley3.36
Burnley / Draw3.86
Burnley / Derby County5.50
Draw / Burnley3.33
Draw / Draw3.82
Draw / Derby County5.40
Derby County / Burnley5.60
Derby County / Draw6.40
Derby County / Derby County9.10

Derby County Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half3.95
2nd Half2.95
Equal2.06

Highest Scoring Half Double Chance

3 outcomes
1st or Equal1.66
1st or 2nd1.27
2nd or Equal1.35

Burnley Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half3.20
2nd Half2.47
Equal2.75

Home No Bet

2 outcomes
Draw1.73
Derby County1.98

Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
Burnley1.63
Derby County2.60
No Goal12.00

Derby County Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.64
1-31.48
1-41.45
2-33.18
2-43.13
3-49.10
Any Other2.45

Burnley Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.58
1-31.28
1-41.20
2-32.09
2-41.89
3-43.86
Any Other4.00

Derby County Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.54
1-31.41
2-33.00
4+35.00
No Goal2.50

Burnley Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.48
1-31.25
2-31.94
4+7.40
No Goal4.70

Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Burnley & Yes3.50
Burnley & No3.10
Draw & Yes4.60
Draw & No12.00
Derby County & Yes7.25
Derby County & No6.80

Derby County to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes5.00
No1.14

Burnley to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes2.80
No1.41

Score Draw

2 outcomes
Yes4.30
No1.18

Derby County Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd2.10
Even1.66

Burnley Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.91
Even1.80

Derby County to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.43
No2.45

Burnley to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.15
No4.25

Derby County to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes8.20
No1.04

Burnley to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes8.70
No1.03

Result & Both Teams to Score (Yes only)

3 outcomes
Burnley & Yes3.50
Derby County & Yes7.25
Draw & Yes4.33

Derby County Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes2.35
No1.53

Burnley Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes1.85
No1.85

Derby County Win by 2 or 3

2 outcomes
Yes8.20
No1.04

Burnley Win by 2 or 3

2 outcomes
Yes3.57
No1.25

Derby County to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes2.44
No1.51

Burnley to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.44
No2.62

Winning Margin

7 outcomes
Burnley by 1—
Burnley by 2—
Burnley by 3+—
Derby County by 1—
Derby County by 2—
Derby County by 3+—
Draw3.60

Winning Margin (with Draw Split)

10 outcomes
Burnley by exactly 13.60
Burnley by exactly 25.25
Burnley by exactly 39.00
Burnley by 4 or more13.50
Derby County by exactly 15.75
Derby County by exactly 211.50
Derby County by exactly 326.00
Derby County by 4 or more51.00
Score draw4.33
No goal11.50

Both Halves Over 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes5.00
No1.14

Both Halves Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes2.43
No1.47

Double Chance & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 1.51.53
1X & Under 1.54.80
12 & Over 1.51.62
12 & Under 1.54.75
X2 & Over 1.52.55
X2 & Under 1.56.25

Result & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
Burnley & Over 1.52.15
Burnley & Under 1.57.00
Draw & Over 1.54.33
Draw & Under 1.511.50
Derby County & Over 1.55.25
Derby County & Under 1.511.00

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 2.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 2.52.20
Yes & Under 2.56.25
No & Over 2.57.50
No & Under 2.52.50

Double Chance & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 2.52.30
1X & Under 2.52.30
12 & Over 2.52.05
12 & Under 2.52.95
X2 & Over 2.54.50
X2 & Under 2.53.10

Result & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
Burnley & Over 2.52.70
Burnley & Under 2.54.20
Draw & Over 2.511.00
Draw & Under 2.54.40
Derby County & Over 2.56.50
Derby County & Under 2.57.75

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 3.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 3.53.30
Yes & Under 3.53.10
No & Over 3.516.00
No & Under 3.52.15

Double Chance & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 3.53.50
1X & Under 3.51.72
12 & Over 3.53.70
12 & Under 3.51.80
X2 & Over 3.56.75
X2 & Under 3.52.50

Result & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
Burnley & Over 3.54.60
Burnley & Under 3.52.55
Draw & Over 3.511.00
Draw & Under 3.54.40
Derby County & Over 3.512.50
Derby County & Under 3.55.00

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 4.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 4.56.00
Yes & Under 4.52.20
No & Over 4.534.00
No & Under 4.52.05

Double Chance & Over/Under 4.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 4.57.00
1X & Under 4.51.41
12 & Over 4.56.00
12 & Under 4.51.52
X2 & Over 4.515.00
X2 & Under 4.52.10

Result & Over/Under 4.5

6 outcomes
Burnley & Over 4.57.50
Burnley & Under 4.52.15
Draw & Over 4.536.00
Draw & Under 4.53.60
Derby County & Over 4.518.50
Derby County & Under 4.54.40

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 5.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 5.512.00
Yes & Under 5.51.90
No & Over 5.567.00
No & Under 5.52.00

Handicap -2

3 outcomes
Burnley (-2)6.75
Draw5.75
Derby County (+2)1.36

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Burnley (-1)3.25
Draw3.80
Derby County (+1)2.00

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Burnley (+1)1.25
Draw6.25
Derby County (-1)10.50

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.40
Under 22.75

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.61
Under 2.252.17

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.82
Under 2.51.88

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.752.04
Under 2.751.70

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.41
Under 31.50

Burnley Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.17
Under 0.54.70

Burnley Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.84
Under 1.51.87

Burnley Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.53.60
Under 2.51.26

Derby County Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.47
Under 0.52.50

Derby County Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.20
Under 1.51.31

Derby County Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.510.00
Under 2.51.06

Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.95
Even1.83

Burnley Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.05
No1.33

Derby County Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes7.40
No1.08

Burnley Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes2.50
No1.47

Derby County Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes4.70
No1.17

Half Time / Full Time

9 outcomes
Burnley / Burnley2.80
Burnley / Draw13.50
Burnley / Derby County36.00
Draw / Burnley4.80
Draw / Draw5.75
Draw / Derby County9.50
Derby County / Burnley23.00
Derby County / Draw14.00
Derby County / Derby County7.00

Burnley to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes4.80
No1.16

Derby County to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes10.00
No1.02

First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Burnley1.63
Derby County2.60
No goal12.00

Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st half3.10
2nd half2.13
Equal3.52

Correct Score

55 outcomes
0-012.50
0-113.00
0-221.00
0-360.00
0-4251.00
1-07.60
1-17.00
1-213.00
1-335.00
1-4151.00
2-09.00
2-18.25
2-214.00
2-340.00
2-4151.00
3-014.00
3-113.50
3-225.00
3-370.00
3-4301.00
4-030.00
4-130.00
4-260.00
4-3151.00
4-4601.00
Any other score21.00
5-067.00
6-0101.00
7-0151.00
8-0301.00
5-167.00
6-191.00
7-1151.00
8-1226.00
5-2111.00
6-2126.00
7-2201.00
5-3226.00
6-3201.00
8-3301.00
5-4301.00
0-5301.00
1-5276.00
2-5301.00
3-5301.00
4-5301.00
0-6276.00
1-6226.00
2-6226.00
8-2301.00
3-6301.00
7-3301.00
5-5301.00
4-6301.00
2-7301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Burnley2.37
Draw2.26
Derby County4.70

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Burnley / Draw1.20
Burnley / Derby County1.58
Draw / Derby County1.56

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.40
No1.20

1st Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Burnley1.41
Derby County2.70

1st Half — Derby County Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.50
1-32.44
1-42.50
2-310.00
2-410.00
3-456.00
Any Other1.43

1st Half — Burnley Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.83
1-31.68
1-41.70
2-34.60
2-44.50
3-417.00
Any Other1.95

1st Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.59
1-31.40
1-41.35
2-32.78
2-42.58
3-46.60
Any Other2.83

1st Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.34
Under 0.53.03

1st Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Burnley & Yes7.50
Burnley & No2.07
Draw & Yes4.60
Draw & No3.03
Derby County & Yes12.00
Derby County & No3.47

1st Half — Derby County to Score

2 outcomes
Yes2.50
No1.43

1st Half — Burnley to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.73
No1.94

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.75
Under 11.97

1st Half — Burnley Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.75
Under 0.51.97

1st Half — Derby County Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.49
Under 0.51.47

1st Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd2.03
Even1.70

1st Half — Burnley Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.47
No2.49

1st Half — Derby County Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.97
No1.75

1st Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Burnley2.13
Derby County3.55
No goal3.05

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.05
0-16.40
0-224.00
0-3126.00
1-03.80
1-17.40
1-230.00
1-3151.00
2-08.60
2-119.00
2-280.00
2-3251.00
3-026.00
3-156.00
3-2201.00
3-3301.00
Any other score14.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Burnley2.18
Draw2.60
Derby County4.00

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Burnley / Draw1.21
Burnley / Derby County1.44
Draw / Derby County1.63

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.40
No1.29

2nd Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Burnley1.45
Derby County2.65

2nd Half — Derby County Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.13
1-32.05
1-42.04
2-36.90
2-46.80
3-431.00
Any Other1.63

2nd Half — Burnley Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.69
1-31.55
1-41.52
2-33.63
2-43.45
3-411.00
Any Other2.26

2nd Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.58
1-31.33
1-41.25
2-32.31
2-42.07
3-44.60
Any Other3.52

2nd Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.20
Under 0.53.68

2nd Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Burnley & Yes5.50
Burnley & No2.62
Draw & Yes3.97
Draw & No3.68
Derby County & Yes8.50
Derby County & No3.40

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.74
Under 1.251.98

2nd Half — Burnley Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.56
Under 0.52.28

2nd Half — Derby County Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.10
Under 0.51.66

2nd Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.92
Even1.75

2nd Half — Burnley Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.66
No2.08

2nd Half — Derby County Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes2.28
No1.55

2nd Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Burnley1.93
Derby County3.05
No goal4.10

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-04.10
0-16.00
0-219.00
0-376.00
1-03.92
1-16.60
1-222.00
1-381.00
2-07.60
2-114.00
2-250.00
2-3151.00
3-021.00
3-134.00
3-2101.00
3-3301.00
Any other score8.40

Corners

Corners Result

3 outcomes
Burnley1.46
Draw7.10
Derby County3.09

1st Half — Corners Result

3 outcomes
Burnley1.62
Draw4.75
Derby County3.10

Total Corners Bands

5 outcomes
5 or less9.80
6 - 83.06
9 - 112.34
12 - 143.59
15 or more7.20

Corners Odd/Even

2 outcomes
Odd1.80
Even1.80

Cards

First Yellow Card (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Burnley—
Derby County—
No card27.00

Yellow Cards Result

3 outcomes
Burnley3.37
Draw3.56
Derby County1.81

Burnley – Derby County: closing odds analysis

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Burnley were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 23% for Derby County and 27% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Burnley 1.98 at bwin, the draw 3.60 at Stake, Derby County 4.10 at bwin.
  • bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.3%.
  • The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Burnley or Derby County?

Burnley, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.4 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Burnley – Derby County?

It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Burnley, Stake on the draw and bwin on Derby County. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (93.3%) and VBET the least (88.6%).

Burnley – Derby County: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERBURNLEYDRAWDERBY COUNTYPAYOUT
bwin1.98 best price3.104.10 best price93.3%
Stake1.813.60 best price4.10 best price93.1%
VBET1.723.413.9388.6%
BEST PRICE1.983.604.1097.4%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH1.72–1.98 · 15.1%3.10–3.60 · 16.1%3.93–4.10 · 4.3%88.6–93.3%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
The draw had the widest spread: 3.10 to 3.60 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 16.1%.

How did the Burnley – Derby County odds move before kick-off?

The best prices barely moved between the opening on 15 Sep and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 0.0%.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.003.004.0015 Sep17 Sep19 Sep4.103.601.98
DATA
BEST PRICE ATBURNLEYDRAWDERBY COUNTY
Tue 15 Sep (open)1.983.604.10
Thu 17 Sep1.983.604.10
Sat 19 Sep (kick-off)1.983.604.10

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 53.2%.

  • Both teams score53%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Burnley – Derby County.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

More championship odds

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