Lyngby BK – Silkeborg IF odds
Lyngby BK went into the match as heavy favourites against Silkeborg IF.
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Lyngby BK – Silkeborg IF: closing odds analysis
- Lyngby BK were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 25% for Silkeborg IF and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lyngby BK 1.84 at Stake, the draw 4.00 at bwin, Silkeborg IF 3.90 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Silkeborg IF shortened from 4.80 at the opening to 3.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lyngby BK or Silkeborg IF?
Lyngby BK, by a distance: the closing odds put 26.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lyngby BK – Silkeborg IF?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Lyngby BK, bwin on the draw and bwin on Silkeborg IF. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.7%) and VBET the least (92.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | SILKEBORG IF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.82 | 4.00 best price | 3.90 best price | 94.7% |
| Stake | 1.84 best price | 3.95 | 3.70 | 93.7% |
| VBET | 1.83 | 3.89 | 3.63 | 92.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.84 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 95.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.82–1.84 · 1.1% | 3.89–4.00 · 2.8% | 3.63–3.90 · 7.4% | 92.7–94.7% |
How did the Lyngby BK – Silkeborg IF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Silkeborg IF shortened from 4.80 when odds opened on 13 Sep to 3.90 at kick-off, a 18.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | SILKEBORG IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 13 Sep (open) | 1.70 | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| Wed 16 Sep | 1.88 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| Fri 18 Sep (kick-off) | 1.84 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 62.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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