Viktoria Plzeň – Union Saint-Gilloise odds
Viktoria Plzeň and Union Saint-Gilloise went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Viktoria Plzeň – Union Saint-Gilloise: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 35% for Viktoria Plzeň, 28% for a draw and 37% for Union Saint-Gilloise.
- Best closing odds: Viktoria Plzeň 2.80 at bwin, the draw 3.50 at VBET, Union Saint-Gilloise 2.65 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Viktoria Plzeň drifted from 2.60 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Viktoria Plzeň or Union Saint-Gilloise?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 2.0 percentage points between Viktoria Plzeň and Union Saint-Gilloise.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Viktoria Plzeň – Union Saint-Gilloise?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Viktoria Plzeň, VBET on the draw and bwin on Union Saint-Gilloise. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.6%) and VBET the least (92.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ | DRAW | UNION SAINT-GILLOISE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.80 best price | 3.10 | 2.65 best price | 94.6% |
| Stake | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.55 | 94.4% |
| VBET | 2.62 | 3.50 best price | 2.43 | 92.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.65 | 98.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.62–2.80 · 6.9% | 3.10–3.50 · 12.9% | 2.43–2.65 · 9.1% | 92.7–94.6% |
How did the Viktoria Plzeň – Union Saint-Gilloise odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Viktoria Plzeň drifted from 2.60 when odds opened on 7 Sep to 2.80 at kick-off, a 7.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ | DRAW | UNION SAINT-GILLOISE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 Sep (open) | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.87 |
| Sat 12 Sep | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Thu 17 Sep (kick-off) | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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