OFI Crete – Hoffenheim odds
Hoffenheim went into the match as heavy favourites against OFI Crete.
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OFI Crete – Hoffenheim: closing odds analysis
- Hoffenheim were favourites: the closing odds implied a 66% chance of an away win, 13% for OFI Crete and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: OFI Crete 7.40 at Stake, the draw 5.00 at Stake, Hoffenheim 1.53 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on OFI Crete drifted from 6.90 at the opening to 7.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, OFI Crete or Hoffenheim?
Hoffenheim, by a distance: the closing odds put 52.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on OFI Crete – Hoffenheim?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on OFI Crete, Stake on the draw and bwin on Hoffenheim. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.6%) and VBET the least (92.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | OFI CRETE | DRAW | HOFFENHEIM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.53 best price | 94.6% |
| Stake | 7.40 best price | 5.00 best price | 1.38 | 94.4% |
| VBET | 7.20 | 4.85 | 1.36 | 92.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 7.40 | 5.00 | 1.53 | 101.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 6.50–7.40 · 13.8% | 4.00–5.00 · 25.0% | 1.36–1.53 · 12.5% | 92.6–94.6% |
How did the OFI Crete – Hoffenheim odds move before kick-off?
The best price on OFI Crete drifted from 6.90 when odds opened on 7 Sep to 7.40 at kick-off, a 7.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | OFI CRETE | DRAW | HOFFENHEIM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 Sep (open) | 6.90 | 4.80 | 1.55 |
| Sat 12 Sep | 7.20 | 4.80 | 1.55 |
| Thu 17 Sep (kick-off) | 7.40 | 5.00 | 1.53 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 51.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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