Levski Sofia – Red Bull Salzburg odds
Red Bull Salzburg went into the match as narrow favourites against Levski Sofia.
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Levski Sofia – Red Bull Salzburg: closing odds analysis
- Red Bull Salzburg were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of an away win, 31% for Levski Sofia and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Levski Sofia 3.10 at bwin, the draw 3.50 at Stake, Red Bull Salzburg 2.37 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Levski Sofia drifted from 3.00 at the opening to 3.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Levski Sofia or Red Bull Salzburg?
Red Bull Salzburg, but only just: the closing odds put 9.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levski Sofia – Red Bull Salzburg?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Levski Sofia, Stake on the draw and bwin on Red Bull Salzburg. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.0%) and VBET the least (92.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | RED BULL SALZBURG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 best price | 3.25 | 2.37 best price | 95.0% |
| Stake | 2.95 | 3.50 best price | 2.28 | 94.0% |
| VBET | 2.94 | 3.41 | 2.23 | 92.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.37 | 97.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.94–3.10 · 5.4% | 3.25–3.50 · 7.7% | 2.23–2.37 · 6.3% | 92.4–95.0% |
How did the Levski Sofia – Red Bull Salzburg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Levski Sofia drifted from 3.00 when odds opened on 10 Sep to 3.10 at kick-off, a 3.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | RED BULL SALZBURG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 10 Sep (open) | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| Mon 14 Sep | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| Thu 17 Sep (kick-off) | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.37 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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