Omonia Nicosia – Celta Vigo odds
Celta Vigo went into the match as clear favourites against Omonia Nicosia.
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Omonia Nicosia – Celta Vigo: closing odds analysis
- Celta Vigo were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of an away win, 28% for Omonia Nicosia and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Omonia Nicosia 4.80 at VBET, the draw 4.10 at bwin, Celta Vigo 2.45 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 4.00 at the opening to 4.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Omonia Nicosia or Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo, clearly: the closing odds put 19.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Omonia Nicosia – Celta Vigo?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Omonia Nicosia, bwin on the draw and bwin on Celta Vigo. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.2%) and bwin the least (88.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | OMONIA NICOSIA | DRAW | CELTA VIGO | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 4.80 best price | 3.45 | 1.81 | 95.2% |
| Stake | 4.50 | 3.45 | 1.84 | 94.7% |
| bwin | 2.10 | 4.10 best price | 2.45 best price | 88.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.80 | 4.10 | 2.45 | 116.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.10–4.80 · 128.6% | 3.45–4.10 · 18.8% | 1.81–2.45 · 35.4% | 88.6–95.2% |
How did the Omonia Nicosia – Celta Vigo odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 4.00 when odds opened on 2 Sep to 4.80 at kick-off, a 20.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | OMONIA NICOSIA | DRAW | CELTA VIGO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 2 Sep (open) | 4.00 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Thu 10 Sep | 4.10 | 3.45 | 2.05 |
| Wed 16 Sep (kick-off) | 4.80 | 4.10 | 2.45 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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