Olympiacos – Jagiellonia Białystok odds
Olympiacos went into the match as heavy favourites against Jagiellonia Białystok.
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Olympiacos – Jagiellonia Białystok: closing odds analysis
- Olympiacos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of a home win, 22% for Jagiellonia Białystok and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Olympiacos 2.80 at bwin, the draw 5.60 at Stake, Jagiellonia Białystok 10.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Olympiacos drifted from 1.50 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Olympiacos or Jagiellonia Białystok?
Olympiacos, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Olympiacos – Jagiellonia Białystok?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Olympiacos, Stake on the draw and Stake on Jagiellonia Białystok. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.9%) and bwin the least (88.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | OLYMPIACOS | DRAW | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.29 | 5.60 best price | 10.00 best price | 94.9% |
| VBET | 1.28 | 5.10 | 9.80 | 92.6% |
| bwin | 2.80 best price | 4.10 | 1.90 | 88.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.80 | 5.60 | 10.00 | 157.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.28–2.80 · 118.8% | 4.10–5.60 · 36.6% | 1.90–10.00 · 426.3% | 88.7–94.9% |
How did the Olympiacos – Jagiellonia Białystok odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Olympiacos drifted from 1.50 when odds opened on 7 Sep to 2.80 at kick-off, a 86.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | OLYMPIACOS | DRAW | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 Sep (open) | 1.50 | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| Sat 12 Sep | 1.50 | 5.00 | 7.90 |
| Wed 16 Sep (kick-off) | 2.80 | 5.60 | 10.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 44.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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