Barcelona – Racing Santander odds
Barcelona went into the match as heavy favourites against Racing Santander.
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Barcelona – Racing Santander: closing odds analysis
- Barcelona were favourites: the closing odds implied a 88% chance of a home win, 5% for Racing Santander and 8% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Barcelona 1.09 at bwin, the draw 13.00 at Stake, Racing Santander 23.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Racing Santander drifted from 18.00 at the opening to 23.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Barcelona or Racing Santander?
Barcelona, by a distance: the closing odds put 82.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Barcelona – Racing Santander?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Barcelona, Stake on the draw and VBET on Racing Santander. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (95.2%) and bwin the least (94.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | BARCELONA | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.08 | 13.00 best price | 21.00 | 95.2% |
| VBET | 1.08 | 12.00 | 23.00 best price | 95.0% |
| bwin | 1.09 best price | 12.50 | 16.50 | 94.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.09 | 13.00 | 23.00 | 96.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.08–1.09 · 0.9% | 12.00–13.00 · 8.3% | 16.50–23.00 · 39.4% | 94.5–95.2% |
How did the Barcelona – Racing Santander odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Racing Santander drifted from 18.00 when odds opened on 6 Sep to 23.00 at kick-off, a 27.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BARCELONA | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 6 Sep (open) | 1.13 | 10.50 | 18.00 |
| Fri 11 Sep | 1.12 | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| Wed 16 Sep (kick-off) | 1.09 | 13.00 | 23.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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