FC Midtjylland – Brøndby IF odds
FC Midtjylland went into the match as heavy favourites against Brøndby IF.
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FC Midtjylland – Brøndby IF: closing odds analysis
- FC Midtjylland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 24% for Brøndby IF and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: FC Midtjylland 1.91 at ComeOn, the draw 3.85 at Oddset, Brøndby IF 4.25 at Casinomoto.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.70 at the opening to 3.85 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, FC Midtjylland or Brøndby IF?
FC Midtjylland, by a distance: the closing odds put 26.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on FC Midtjylland – Brøndby IF?
It depended on the outcome: ComeOn was best on FC Midtjylland, Oddset on the draw and Casinomoto on Brøndby IF. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | BRØNDBY IF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.85 | 3.79 | 4.10 | 95.4% |
| Oddset | 1.80 | 3.85 best price | 4.25 best price | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 1.91 best price | 3.72 | 3.87 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 1.83 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.25 best price | 94.2% |
| Bet25 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.80 | 93.5% |
| Stake | 1.83 | 3.80 | 3.85 | 93.5% |
| Casino House | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 93.4% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.81 | 3.70 | 3.89 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 91.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 91.8% |
| Betinia | 1.81 | 3.33 | 4.20 | 91.7% |
| CampoBet | 1.81 | 3.33 | 4.20 | 91.7% |
| Betoro | 1.81 | 3.33 | 4.20 | 91.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.84 | 3.58 | 3.73 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.84 | 3.58 | 3.73 | 91.7% |
| TipWin | 1.85 | 3.55 | 3.65 | 91.2% |
| Betmaster | 1.85 | 3.45 | 3.60 | 90.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.82 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.91 | 3.85 | 4.25 | 98.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.80–1.91 · 6.1% | 3.33–3.85 · 15.6% | 3.60–4.25 · 18.1% | 90.2–95.4% |
How did the FC Midtjylland – Brøndby IF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.70 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 3.85 at kick-off, a 4.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | BRØNDBY IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.88 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Fri 11 Sep | 1.91 | 3.85 | 4.25 |
| Mon 14 Sep (kick-off) | 1.91 | 3.85 | 4.25 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 61.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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