Sheffield United – Wolves odds
Wolves went into the match as narrow favourites against Sheffield United.
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Sheffield United – Wolves: closing odds analysis
- Wolves were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 34% for Sheffield United and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sheffield United 3.26 at VBET, the draw 3.80 at bwin, Wolves 2.75 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Wolves drifted from 2.40 at the opening to 2.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sheffield United or Wolves?
Wolves, but only just: the closing odds put 5.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sheffield United – Wolves?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Sheffield United, bwin on the draw and bwin on Wolves. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.3%) and bwin the least (87.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | SHEFFIELD UNITED | DRAW | WOLVES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.25 | 3.35 | 2.15 | 93.3% |
| VBET | 3.26 best price | 3.16 | 2.10 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 1.95 | 3.80 best price | 2.75 best price | 87.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.26 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 107.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.95–3.26 · 67.2% | 3.16–3.80 · 20.3% | 2.10–2.75 · 31.0% | 87.7–93.3% |
How did the Sheffield United – Wolves odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Wolves drifted from 2.40 when odds opened on 9 Sep to 2.75 at kick-off, a 14.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SHEFFIELD UNITED | DRAW | WOLVES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 9 Sep (open) | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.40 |
| Fri 11 Sep | 3.20 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Sun 13 Sep (kick-off) | 3.26 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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