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CHAMPIONSHIP · SAT 12 SEP · 16:00

Watford – Stoke City odds

Watford went into the match as narrow favourites against Stoke City.

194 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Watford 39%Draw 27%Stoke City 34%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
99.4%
vs 90.5% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Watford2.45
Draw3.70
Stoke City3.05

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Watford / Draw1.37
Watford / Stoke City1.34
Draw / Stoke City1.61

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.36
Under 0.52.95

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.35
Under 1.52.80

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.20
Under 2.51.55

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.40
Under 3.52.60

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.51.93
Under 4.51.73

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.52.87
Under 5.51.34

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.52.70
Under 6.51.38

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.16
Under 7.54.40

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.31
Under 8.53.00

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.55
Under 9.52.20

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.51.90
Under 10.51.75

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.52.45
Under 11.51.46

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.53.30
Under 12.51.27

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 13.54.60
Under 13.51.15

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.78
No2.00

Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Watford1.65
Stoke City2.21

Away No Bet

2 outcomes
Watford1.57
Draw2.25

Stoke City to Score & Result

5 outcomes
Yes & Watford4.60
No & Watford3.57
Yes & Draw4.05
No & Draw7.85
Yes & Stoke City2.95

Both Teams to Score & Either Team to Win

2 outcomes
Yes2.70
No1.40

Both Teams to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes12.50
No1.03

Both Teams to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes17.00
Yes/No5.80
No/Yes4.00
No/No1.52

Double Chance & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
1X & Yes2.30
1X & No2.90
12 & Yes2.70
12 & No2.30
X2 & Yes2.60
X2 & No3.60

Both Halves Won by Different Teams

2 outcomes
Yes4.57
No1.16

Draw in at Least One Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.45
No2.55

Exact Goals

7 outcomes
011.00
14.40
23.33
33.91
45.60
511.00
6+17.00

Stoke City Exact Goals

4 outcomes
02.95
12.44
24.10
3+7.40

Exact Number of Goals

9 outcomes
No goal9.50
1 goal4.40
2 goals3.30
3 goals3.90
4 goals5.75
5 goals10.50
6 goals18.00
7 goals34.00
8 or more goals51.00

Watford Exact Goals

4 outcomes
03.60
12.55
23.60
3+5.20

First Goal Method

6 outcomes
By Header5.90
By Other Method1.38
By Free Kick17.00
By Penalty Kick7.50
Own Goal36.00
No Goal9.40

First Team to Score & Result

7 outcomes
Watford & Watford—
Watford & Draw—
Watford & Stoke City—
Stoke City & Watford—
Stoke City & Draw—
Stoke City & Stoke City—
No Goal7.85

Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 13.10
2 or 31.90
4 to 63.56
7 or more21.00

Stoke City Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.37
2 or 32.91
4 to 621.00
7 or more351.00

Watford Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.55
2 or 32.43
4 to 613.00
7 or more351.00

Goal in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes1.83
No1.87

Goal Range

4 outcomes
0-13.20
2-31.93
4-54.00
6+17.00

1st Half / 2nd Half Result

9 outcomes
Watford / Watford4.50
Watford / Draw4.20
Watford / Stoke City5.40
Draw / Watford3.70
Draw / Draw3.45
Draw / Stoke City4.40
Stoke City / Watford5.50
Stoke City / Draw5.20
Stoke City / Stoke City6.60

Stoke City Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half3.70
2nd Half2.75
Equal2.24

Highest Scoring Half Double Chance

3 outcomes
1st or Equal1.64
1st or 2nd1.29
2nd or Equal1.35

Watford Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half3.45
2nd Half2.60
Equal2.47

Home No Bet

2 outcomes
Draw1.90
Stoke City1.82

Watford to Score & Result

5 outcomes
Yes & Watford2.17
Yes & Draw4.05
No & Draw7.85
Yes & Stoke City6.30
No & Stoke City4.20

Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
Watford1.87
Stoke City2.21
No Goal11.00

Stoke City Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.59
1-31.42
1-41.39
2-32.91
2-42.82
3-47.70
Any Other2.68

Watford Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.55
1-31.33
1-41.27
2-32.43
2-42.29
3-45.40
Any Other3.27

Stoke City Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.49
1-31.34
2-32.60
4+22.00
No Goal2.95

Watford Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.46
1-31.28
2-32.20
4+12.00
No Goal3.60

Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Watford & Yes4.60
Watford & No3.80
Draw & Yes4.10
Draw & No9.50
Stoke City & Yes6.30
Stoke City & No5.00

Result & Exact Total Goals

12 outcomes
Watford & 1 goal6.60
Watford & 2 goals10.00
Watford & 3 goals6.40
Watford & 4+ goals7.10
Draw & 0 goals7.85
Draw & 2 goals6.00
Draw & 4 goals13.00
Draw & 6+ goals46.00
Stoke City & 1 goal8.20
Stoke City & 2 goals14.00
Stoke City & 3 goals8.60
Stoke City & 4+ goals11.00

Stoke City to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes4.42
No1.18

Watford to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes3.50
No1.26

Score Draw

2 outcomes
Yes4.05
No1.20

Stoke City to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes4.42
Yes/No3.39
No/Yes2.66
No/No2.80

Watford to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes3.47
Yes/No3.31
No/Yes2.63
No/No3.47

Stoke City Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd2.02
Even1.71

Watford Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.96
Even1.76

Stoke City to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.38
No2.80

Watford to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.26
No3.47

Stoke City to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes8.20
No1.04

Watford to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes8.50
No1.04

Result & Both Teams to Score (Yes only)

3 outcomes
Watford & Yes4.40
Stoke City & Yes5.75
Draw & Yes4.10

Stoke City Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes1.97
No1.73

Watford Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes1.80
No1.90

Stoke City Win by 2 or 3

2 outcomes
Yes6.50
No1.08

Watford Win by 2 or 3

2 outcomes
Yes4.75
No1.15

Stoke City to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes2.02
No1.73

Watford to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.67
No2.08

Winning Margin

7 outcomes
Watford by 1—
Watford by 2—
Watford by 3+—
Stoke City by 1—
Stoke City by 2—
Stoke City by 3+—
Draw3.25

Stoke City Winning Margin

4 outcomes
by 14.70
by 28.20
by 319.00
by 4+51.00

Winning Margin (with Draw Split)

10 outcomes
Watford by exactly 13.80
Watford by exactly 26.50
Watford by exactly 313.00
Watford by 4 or more21.00
Stoke City by exactly 14.60
Stoke City by exactly 29.00
Stoke City by exactly 318.50
Stoke City by 4 or more34.00
Score draw4.10
No goal9.50

Watford Winning Margin

4 outcomes
by 13.76
by 26.60
by 312.00
by 4+25.00

Both Halves Over 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes5.60
No1.11

Both Halves Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes2.27
No1.54

Double Chance & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 1.51.78
1X & Under 1.54.60
12 & Over 1.51.75
12 & Under 1.54.40
X2 & Over 1.52.15
X2 & Under 1.55.00

Result & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
Watford & Over 1.52.85
Watford & Under 1.57.25
Draw & Over 1.54.10
Draw & Under 1.59.50
Stoke City & Over 1.53.90
Stoke City & Under 1.58.50

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 2.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 2.52.30
Yes & Under 2.55.75
No & Over 2.59.00
No & Under 2.52.35

Double Chance & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 2.52.87
1X & Under 2.52.30
12 & Over 2.52.20
12 & Under 2.52.85
X2 & Over 2.53.70
X2 & Under 2.52.55

Result & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
Watford & Over 2.53.60
Watford & Under 2.54.75
Draw & Over 2.510.50
Draw & Under 2.53.90
Stoke City & Over 2.54.80
Stoke City & Under 2.56.00

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 3.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 3.53.70
Yes & Under 3.52.90
No & Over 3.520.00
No & Under 3.52.05

Double Chance & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 3.54.50
1X & Under 3.51.80
12 & Over 3.54.33
12 & Under 3.51.75
X2 & Over 3.55.75
X2 & Under 3.52.05

Result & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
Watford & Over 3.56.50
Watford & Under 3.52.95
Draw & Over 3.510.50
Draw & Under 3.53.90
Stoke City & Over 3.59.75
Stoke City & Under 3.53.70

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 4.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 4.57.00
Yes & Under 4.52.15
No & Over 4.546.00
No & Under 4.52.00

Double Chance & Over/Under 4.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 4.58.75
1X & Under 4.51.55
12 & Over 4.56.50
12 & Under 4.51.57
X2 & Over 4.511.00
X2 & Under 4.51.73

Result & Over/Under 4.5

6 outcomes
Watford & Over 4.511.00
Watford & Under 4.52.55
Draw & Over 4.536.00
Draw & Under 4.53.25
Stoke City & Over 4.515.00
Stoke City & Under 4.53.30

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 5.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 5.514.00
Yes & Under 5.51.88
No & Over 5.581.00
No & Under 5.51.98

Result & Over/Under 5.5

6 outcomes
Watford & Over 5.523.00
Watford & Under 5.52.30
Draw & Over 5.536.00
Draw & Under 5.53.25
Stoke City & Over 5.531.00
Stoke City & Under 5.53.00

Handicap -2

3 outcomes
Watford (-2)10.50
Draw7.25
Stoke City (+2)1.21

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Watford (-1)4.60
Draw4.10
Stoke City (+1)1.65

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Watford (+1)1.39
Draw5.00
Stoke City (-1)7.00

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.50
Under 22.55

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.74
Under 2.252.06

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.98
Under 2.51.80

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.752.26
Under 2.751.62

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.75
Under 31.44

Watford Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.28
Under 0.53.60

Watford Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.28
Under 1.51.61

Watford Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.55.20
Under 2.51.16

Stoke City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.38
Under 0.52.95

Stoke City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.80
Under 1.51.43

Stoke City Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.57.40
Under 2.51.10

Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.96
Even1.82

Watford Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.80
No1.25

Stoke City Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes5.20
No1.14

Watford Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes2.95
No1.37

Stoke City Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes3.60
No1.26

Half Time / Full Time

9 outcomes
Watford / Watford3.60
Watford / Draw13.00
Watford / Stoke City29.00
Draw / Watford6.00
Draw / Draw5.25
Draw / Stoke City7.50
Stoke City / Watford23.00
Stoke City / Draw13.00
Stoke City / Stoke City5.00

Watford to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes6.60
No1.08

Stoke City to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes8.80
No1.04

First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Watford1.87
Stoke City2.21
No goal11.00

Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st half3.20
2nd half2.14
Equal3.39

Correct Score

53 outcomes
0-011.00
0-19.80
0-214.50
0-335.00
0-4126.00
0-5226.00
1-08.20
1-16.40
1-210.50
1-325.00
1-480.00
1-5251.00
2-011.00
2-18.75
2-213.50
2-335.00
2-4126.00
2-5251.00
3-021.00
3-117.00
3-229.00
3-370.00
3-4251.00
3-5301.00
4-060.00
4-150.00
4-280.00
4-3201.00
4-4601.00
4-5301.00
5-0141.00
5-1126.00
5-2201.00
5-3301.00
5-4301.00
5-5301.00
Any other score30.00
6-0126.00
6-1126.00
7-1226.00
6-2176.00
7-2301.00
6-3201.00
0-6151.00
1-6176.00
2-6226.00
3-6251.00
1-7251.00
2-7301.00
3-7251.00
7-0226.00
0-7301.00
8-1301.00

Penalty Awarded

2 outcomes
Yes3.83
No1.22

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Watford2.90
Draw2.14
Stoke City3.70

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Watford / Draw1.27
Watford / Stoke City1.64
Draw / Stoke City1.39

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.50
No1.19

1st Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Watford1.66
Stoke City2.09

1st Half — Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.37
2 or 32.91
4 to 621.00
7 or more29.00

1st Half — Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
Watford2.37
Stoke City2.89
No Goal2.70

1st Half — Stoke City Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.32
1-32.26
1-42.25
2-38.40
2-48.30
3-441.00
Any Other1.52

1st Half — Watford Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.05
1-31.96
1-41.95
2-36.20
2-46.00
3-426.00
Any Other1.70

1st Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.61
1-31.44
1-41.40
2-32.91
2-42.83
3-47.70
Any Other2.61

1st Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.40
Under 0.52.70

1st Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Watford & Yes9.20
Watford & No2.91
Draw & Yes4.70
Draw & No2.70
Stoke City & Yes11.00
Stoke City & No2.90

1st Half — Stoke City to Score

2 outcomes
Yes2.33
No1.54

1st Half — Watford to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.97
No1.73

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.56
Under 0.752.29

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.87
Under 11.83

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.252.34
Under 1.251.53

1st Half — Watford Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.99
Under 0.51.73

1st Half — Watford Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.55.60
Under 1.51.11

1st Half — Stoke City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.26
Under 0.51.57

1st Half — Stoke City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.57.00
Under 1.51.07

1st Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd2.07
Even1.67

1st Half — Watford Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.10
No1.32

1st Half — Stoke City Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.90
No1.21

1st Half — Watford Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.57
No2.26

1st Half — Stoke City Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.73
No1.99

1st Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Watford2.50
Stoke City3.00
No goal2.85

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-02.85
0-15.20
0-217.00
0-381.00
1-04.30
1-17.50
1-227.00
1-3126.00
2-012.00
2-122.00
2-280.00
2-3251.00
3-046.00
3-181.00
3-2276.00
3-3301.00
Any other score17.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Watford2.60
Draw2.49
Stoke City3.28

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Watford / Draw1.30
Watford / Stoke City1.52
Draw / Stoke City1.45

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.45
No1.28

2nd Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Watford1.69
Stoke City2.09

2nd Half — Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.57
2 or 32.31
4 to 611.00
7 or more29.00

2nd Half — Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
Watford2.22
Stoke City2.65
No Goal3.40

2nd Half — Stoke City Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.03
1-31.94
1-41.93
2-34.75
2-46.00
3-426.00
Any Other1.71

2nd Half — Watford Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.84
1-31.74
1-41.72
2-34.10
2-44.60
3-417.00
Any Other1.92

2nd Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.57
1-31.35
1-41.28
2-32.31
2-42.26
3-45.30
Any Other3.21

2nd Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.27
Under 0.53.40

2nd Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Watford & Yes6.70
Watford & No2.37
Draw & Yes4.00
Draw & No3.40
Stoke City & Yes7.90
Stoke City & No2.85

2nd Half — Stoke City to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.96
No1.74

2nd Half — Watford to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.74
No1.96

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.81
Under 1.251.89

2nd Half — Watford Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.73
Under 0.51.99

2nd Half — Watford Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.40
Under 1.51.17

2nd Half — Watford Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.510.00
Under 2.51.02

2nd Half — Stoke City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.92
Under 0.51.79

2nd Half — Stoke City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.55.40
Under 1.51.12

2nd Half — Stoke City Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.511.00
Under 2.51.01

2nd Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.94
Even1.74

2nd Half — Watford Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.10
No1.32

2nd Half — Stoke City Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.83
No1.22

2nd Half — Watford Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.79
No1.90

2nd Half — Stoke City Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.99
No1.71

2nd Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Watford2.23
Stoke City2.65
No goal3.85

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.85
0-15.00
0-214.00
1-04.20
1-16.40
1-219.00
2-010.00
2-116.00
2-250.00
Any other score10.00
0-356.00
1-371.00
2-3151.00
3-034.00
3-151.00
3-2141.00
3-3301.00

Corners

First Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Watford—
Stoke City—
No corner101.00

1st Half — First Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Watford—
Stoke City—
No corner70.00

Corners Result

3 outcomes
Watford1.99
Draw6.50
Stoke City2.16

1st Half — Corners Result

3 outcomes
Watford2.20
Draw4.40
Stoke City2.23

Total Corners Bands

5 outcomes
5 or less11.00
6 - 83.14
9 - 112.34
12 - 143.36
15 or more7.10

Stoke City Corner Bands

4 outcomes
0-25.21
3-42.95
5-63.19
7+3.38

Total Corners Range (3-Way)

3 outcomes
0-82.73
9-112.78
12+2.75

Watford Corner Bands

4 outcomes
0-25.72
3-43.06
5-63.15
7+3.11

Half with the Most Corners

3 outcomes
1st Half2.57
2nd Half1.69
Equal7.80

Corners Odd/Even

2 outcomes
Odd1.80
Even1.80

1st Half — Stoke City Exact Corners

4 outcomes
0-12.55
23.65
34.70
4+3.80

1st Half — Watford Exact Corners

4 outcomes
0-12.70
23.70
34.70
4+3.55

First Corner

2 outcomes
Watford1.85
Stoke City1.85

Last Corner

2 outcomes
Watford1.85
Stoke City1.86

1st Half — Last Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Watford—
Stoke City—
None70.00

Cards

First Yellow Card (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Watford—
Stoke City—
No card80.00

Yellow Cards Result

3 outcomes
Watford2.68
Draw4.40
Stoke City1.94

1st Half — Yellow Cards Result

3 outcomes
Watford3.30
Draw2.43
Stoke City2.45

Yellow Cards Double Chance

3 outcomes
1X1.76
121.19
X21.41

First Yellow Card

2 outcomes
Watford2.01
Stoke City1.71

Last Yellow Card

2 outcomes
Watford2.01
Stoke City1.71

Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes5.60
No1.10

Stoke City Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes9.20
No1.04

1st Half — Stoke City Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes12.00
No1.01

Watford Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes9.20
No1.04

1st Half — Watford Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes12.00
No1.01

1st Half — Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes11.00
No1.01

Watford – Stoke City: closing odds analysis

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Watford were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 34% for Stoke City and 27% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Watford 2.45 at bwin, the draw 3.70 at bwin, Stoke City 3.05 at Stake.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.3%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.35 at the opening to 3.70 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Watford or Stoke City?

Watford, but only just: the closing odds put 5.6 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Watford – Stoke City?

It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Watford, bwin on the draw and Stake on Stoke City. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.3%) and bwin the least (87.4%).

Watford – Stoke City: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERWATFORDDRAWSTOKE CITYPAYOUT
Stake2.293.253.05 best price93.3%
VBET2.193.173.05 best price90.9%
bwin2.45 best price3.70 best price2.1587.4%
BEST PRICE2.453.703.0599.4%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH2.19–2.45 · 11.9%3.17–3.70 · 16.7%2.15–3.05 · 41.9%87.4–93.3%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
Stoke City had the widest spread: 2.15 to 3.05 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 41.9%.

How did the Watford – Stoke City odds move before kick-off?

The best price on the draw drifted from 3.35 when odds opened on 9 Sep to 3.70 at kick-off, a 10.4% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.503.003.509 Sep11 Sep12 Sep3.703.052.45
DATA
BEST PRICE ATWATFORDDRAWSTOKE CITY
Wed 9 Sep (open)2.503.352.95
Fri 11 Sep2.553.302.95
Sat 12 Sep (kick-off)2.453.703.05

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 52.6%.

  • Both teams score53%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Watford – Stoke City.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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