Southampton – Bristol City odds
Southampton went into the match as clear favourites against Bristol City.
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Southampton – Bristol City: closing odds analysis
- Southampton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of a home win, 28% for Bristol City and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Southampton 2.55 at bwin, the draw 4.00 at Stake, Bristol City 4.50 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Southampton drifted from 1.82 at the opening to 2.55 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Southampton or Bristol City?
Southampton, clearly: the closing odds put 20.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Southampton – Bristol City?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Southampton, Stake on the draw and Stake on Bristol City. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.4%) and bwin the least (86.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | SOUTHAMPTON | DRAW | BRISTOL CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.67 | 4.00 best price | 4.50 best price | 93.4% |
| VBET | 1.65 | 3.97 | 4.10 | 90.8% |
| bwin | 2.55 best price | 3.40 | 2.15 | 86.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.55 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 115.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.65–2.55 · 54.5% | 3.40–4.00 · 17.6% | 2.15–4.50 · 109.3% | 86.9–93.4% |
How did the Southampton – Bristol City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Southampton drifted from 1.82 when odds opened on 9 Sep to 2.55 at kick-off, a 40.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SOUTHAMPTON | DRAW | BRISTOL CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 9 Sep (open) | 1.82 | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| Fri 11 Sep | 1.85 | 3.95 | 4.50 |
| Sat 12 Sep (kick-off) | 2.55 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 58.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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