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CHAMPIONSHIP · SAT 12 SEP · 13:30

Derby County – Birmingham City odds

Birmingham City went into the match as narrow favourites against Derby County.

194 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Derby County 33%Draw 27%Birmingham City 40%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
101.8%
vs 90.8% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Derby County3.20
Draw3.70
Birmingham City2.50

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Derby County / Draw1.66
Derby County / Birmingham City1.34
Draw / Birmingham City1.36

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.24
Under 0.53.80

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.50
Under 1.52.35

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.70
Under 2.51.38

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.31
Under 3.53.10

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.10
Under 4.51.60

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.53.30
Under 5.51.27

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.51.10
Under 6.56.00

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.21
Under 7.53.90

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.39
Under 8.52.65

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.68
Under 9.52.00

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.10
Under 10.51.60

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.52.80
Under 11.51.36

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.53.90
Under 12.51.21

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 13.54.80
Under 13.51.14

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.75
No2.04

Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Derby County2.30
Birmingham City1.60

Away No Bet

2 outcomes
Derby County1.81
Draw1.90

Birmingham City to Score & Result

5 outcomes
Yes & Derby County6.00
No & Derby County4.90
Yes & Draw4.05
No & Draw8.20
Yes & Birmingham City2.15

Both Teams to Score & Either Team to Win

2 outcomes
Yes2.65
No1.41

Both Teams to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes12.50
No1.02

Both Teams to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes16.00
Yes/No5.60
No/Yes3.95
No/No1.54

Double Chance & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
1X & Yes2.55
1X & No3.70
12 & Yes2.65
12 & No2.30
X2 & Yes2.30
X2 & No2.87

Both Halves Won by Different Teams

2 outcomes
Yes4.57
No1.16

Draw in at Least One Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.45
No2.55

Exact Goals

7 outcomes
011.00
14.60
23.40
33.90
45.40
510.00
6+9.70

Birmingham City Exact Goals

4 outcomes
03.80
12.60
23.55
3+4.70

Exact Number of Goals

9 outcomes
No goal9.75
1 goal4.40
2 goals3.40
3 goals3.90
4 goals5.50
5 goals10.00
6 goals18.00
7 goals31.00
8 or more goals51.00

Derby County Exact Goals

4 outcomes
02.95
12.44
24.10
3+7.40

First Goal Method

6 outcomes
By Header5.90
By Other Method1.40
By Free Kick17.00
By Penalty Kick7.40
Own Goal36.00
No Goal8.50

First Team to Score & Result

7 outcomes
Derby County & Derby County—
Derby County & Draw—
Derby County & Birmingham City—
Birmingham City & Derby County—
Birmingham City & Draw—
Birmingham City & Birmingham City—
No Goal8.20

Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 13.25
2 or 31.94
4 to 63.33
7 or more34.00

Birmingham City Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.60
2 or 32.36
4 to 612.00
7 or more351.00

Derby County Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.40
2 or 32.81
4 to 619.00
7 or more351.00

Goal in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes1.79
No1.91

Goal Range

4 outcomes
0-13.35
2-31.94
4-53.85
6+15.00

1st Half / 2nd Half Result

9 outcomes
Derby County / Derby County6.70
Derby County / Draw5.50
Derby County / Birmingham City5.50
Draw / Derby County4.30
Draw / Draw3.50
Draw / Birmingham City3.52
Birmingham City / Derby County5.40
Birmingham City / Draw4.50
Birmingham City / Birmingham City4.50

Birmingham City Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half3.40
2nd Half2.55
Equal2.55

Highest Scoring Half Double Chance

3 outcomes
1st or Equal1.72
1st or 2nd1.28
2nd or Equal1.31

Derby County Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st Half3.78
2nd Half2.77
Equal2.23

Home No Bet

2 outcomes
Draw2.27
Birmingham City1.56

Derby County to Score & Result

5 outcomes
Yes & Derby County3.00
Yes & Draw4.05
No & Draw8.20
Yes & Birmingham City4.40
No & Birmingham City3.79

Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
Derby County2.26
Birmingham City1.83
No Goal11.00

Birmingham City Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.55
1-31.32
1-41.26
2-32.36
2-42.21
3-45.10
Any Other3.41

Derby County Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.58
1-31.41
1-41.36
2-32.81
2-42.72
3-47.20
Any Other2.77

Birmingham City Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.46
1-31.27
2-32.12
4+11.00
No Goal3.80

Derby County Multigoals

5 outcomes
1-21.49
1-31.34
2-32.60
4+22.00
No Goal2.95

Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Derby County & Yes6.00
Derby County & No5.25
Draw & Yes4.10
Draw & No9.75
Birmingham City & Yes4.40
Birmingham City & No3.79

Result & Exact Total Goals

12 outcomes
Derby County & 1 goal8.70
Derby County & 2 goals15.00
Derby County & 3 goals8.50
Derby County & 4+ goals10.00
Draw & 0 goals8.20
Draw & 2 goals6.00
Draw & 4 goals13.00
Draw & 6+ goals41.00
Birmingham City & 1 goal6.50
Birmingham City & 2 goals10.00
Birmingham City & 3 goals6.20
Birmingham City & 4+ goals6.60

Birmingham City to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes3.30
No1.29

Derby County to Score in Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes4.30
No1.19

Score Draw

2 outcomes
Yes4.05
No1.20

Birmingham City to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes3.30
Yes/No3.50
No/Yes2.52
No/No3.65

Derby County to Score 1st Half / 2nd Half

4 outcomes
Yes/Yes4.15
Yes/No3.55
No/Yes2.54
No/No2.87

Birmingham City Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.94
Even1.77

Derby County Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd2.03
Even1.71

Birmingham City to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.24
No3.65

Derby County to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.36
No2.87

Birmingham City to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes8.50
No1.04

Derby County to Win 1st Half and Not Win the Match

2 outcomes
Yes8.20
No1.04

Result & Both Teams to Score (Yes only)

3 outcomes
Derby County & Yes5.50
Birmingham City & Yes4.40
Draw & Yes4.10

Birmingham City Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes1.81
No1.89

Derby County Win by 1 or Draw

2 outcomes
Yes2.01
No1.71

Birmingham City Win by 2 or 3

2 outcomes
Yes4.57
No1.16

Derby County Win by 2 or 3

2 outcomes
Yes6.50
No1.08

Birmingham City to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes1.66
No2.16

Derby County to Win Either Half

2 outcomes
Yes2.05
No1.70

Winning Margin

7 outcomes
Derby County by 1—
Derby County by 2—
Derby County by 3+—
Birmingham City by 1—
Birmingham City by 2—
Birmingham City by 3+—
Draw3.30

Birmingham City Winning Margin

4 outcomes
by 13.65
by 26.00
by 39.30
by 4+25.00

Winning Margin (with Draw Split)

10 outcomes
Derby County by exactly 14.60
Derby County by exactly 29.00
Derby County by exactly 319.00
Derby County by 4 or more34.00
Birmingham City by exactly 13.90
Birmingham City by exactly 26.50
Birmingham City by exactly 312.00
Birmingham City by 4 or more20.00
Score draw4.10
No goal9.75

Derby County Winning Margin

4 outcomes
by 14.57
by 27.85
by 319.00
by 4+51.00

Both Halves Over 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes5.40
No1.12

Both Halves Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Yes2.34
No1.51

Double Chance & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 1.52.15
1X & Under 1.55.25
12 & Over 1.51.73
12 & Under 1.54.40
X2 & Over 1.51.77
X2 & Under 1.54.60

Result & Over/Under 1.5

6 outcomes
Derby County & Over 1.53.90
Derby County & Under 1.58.75
Draw & Over 1.54.10
Draw & Under 1.59.75
Birmingham City & Over 1.52.80
Birmingham City & Under 1.57.25

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 2.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 2.52.25
Yes & Under 2.55.75
No & Over 2.58.75
No & Under 2.52.37

Double Chance & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 2.53.60
1X & Under 2.52.60
12 & Over 2.52.20
12 & Under 2.52.87
X2 & Over 2.52.85
X2 & Under 2.52.30

Result & Over/Under 2.5

6 outcomes
Derby County & Over 2.54.80
Derby County & Under 2.56.00
Draw & Over 2.510.50
Draw & Under 2.54.00
Birmingham City & Over 2.53.50
Birmingham City & Under 2.54.75

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 3.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 3.53.60
Yes & Under 3.52.90
No & Over 3.520.00
No & Under 3.52.10

Double Chance & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
1X & Over 3.55.50
1X & Under 3.52.10
12 & Over 3.54.33
12 & Under 3.51.75
X2 & Over 3.54.50
X2 & Under 3.51.80

Result & Over/Under 3.5

6 outcomes
Derby County & Over 3.59.25
Derby County & Under 3.53.80
Draw & Over 3.510.50
Draw & Under 3.54.00
Birmingham City & Over 3.56.75
Birmingham City & Under 3.52.90

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 4.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 4.56.75
Yes & Under 4.52.15
No & Over 4.546.00
No & Under 4.52.00

Result & Over/Under 4.5

6 outcomes
Derby County & Over 4.514.00
Derby County & Under 4.53.40
Draw & Over 4.536.00
Draw & Under 4.53.25
Birmingham City & Over 4.510.50
Birmingham City & Under 4.52.50

Both Teams to Score & Over/Under 5.5

4 outcomes
Yes & Over 5.513.50
Yes & Under 5.51.88
No & Over 5.581.00
No & Under 5.51.98

Result & Over/Under 5.5

6 outcomes
Derby County & Over 5.529.00
Derby County & Under 5.53.10
Draw & Over 5.536.00
Draw & Under 5.53.25
Birmingham City & Over 5.521.00
Birmingham City & Under 5.52.30

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Derby County (-1)7.25
Draw5.00
Birmingham City (+1)1.39

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Derby County (+1)1.66
Draw4.10
Birmingham City (-1)4.50

Handicap +2

3 outcomes
Derby County (+2)1.22
Draw7.25
Birmingham City (-2)10.00

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.42
Under 1.752.80

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.46
Under 22.65

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.70
Under 2.252.12

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.93
Under 2.51.85

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.752.18
Under 2.751.66

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.60
Under 31.47

Derby County Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.39
Under 0.52.95

Derby County Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.80
Under 1.51.42

Derby County Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.57.40
Under 2.51.09

Birmingham City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.25
Under 0.53.80

Birmingham City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.17
Under 1.51.67

Birmingham City Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.54.70
Under 2.51.18

Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.96
Even1.82

Derby County Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes5.60
No1.14

Birmingham City Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.70
No1.24

Derby County Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes3.80
No1.24

Birmingham City Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes2.95
No1.37

Half Time / Full Time

9 outcomes
Derby County / Derby County5.25
Derby County / Draw13.00
Derby County / Birmingham City26.00
Draw / Derby County7.25
Draw / Draw5.25
Draw / Birmingham City5.50
Birmingham City / Derby County29.00
Birmingham City / Draw13.00
Birmingham City / Birmingham City3.60

Derby County to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes9.00
No1.03

Birmingham City to Win Both Halves

2 outcomes
Yes6.30
No1.09

First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Derby County2.26
Birmingham City1.83
No goal11.00

Highest Scoring Half

3 outcomes
1st half3.21
2nd half2.13
Equal3.45

Correct Score

52 outcomes
0-011.00
0-18.20
0-210.50
0-319.00
0-450.00
0-5126.00
1-010.00
1-16.40
1-28.75
1-318.00
1-445.00
1-5111.00
2-015.50
2-110.50
2-213.00
2-329.00
2-470.00
2-5176.00
3-040.00
3-126.00
3-235.00
3-360.00
3-4201.00
3-5301.00
4-0126.00
4-190.00
4-2126.00
4-3251.00
4-4601.00
4-5301.00
5-0226.00
5-1226.00
5-2226.00
5-3301.00
5-4301.00
5-5301.00
Any other score29.00
6-0176.00
6-1176.00
7-1301.00
6-2201.00
0-6126.00
1-6126.00
2-6176.00
3-6201.00
0-7226.00
1-7201.00
2-7301.00
3-7301.00
0-8301.00
6-3226.00
1-8276.00

Penalty Awarded

2 outcomes
Yes3.83
No1.22

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Derby County3.80
Draw2.17
Birmingham City2.80

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Derby County / Draw1.42
Derby County / Birmingham City1.67
Draw / Birmingham City1.26

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.42
No1.20

1st Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Derby County2.16
Birmingham City1.62

1st Half — Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.35
2 or 32.97
4 to 623.00
7 or more29.00

1st Half — Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
Derby County2.93
Birmingham City2.39
No Goal2.63

1st Half — Birmingham City Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.05
1-31.96
1-41.95
2-35.00
2-46.40
3-426.00
Any Other1.69

1st Half — Derby County Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-22.32
1-32.26
1-42.26
2-35.80
2-49.00
3-446.00
Any Other1.54

1st Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.62
1-31.45
1-41.41
2-32.97
2-42.90
3-48.00
Any Other2.57

1st Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.42
Under 0.52.65

1st Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Derby County & Yes11.00
Derby County & No4.05
Draw & Yes4.40
Draw & No2.63
Birmingham City & Yes9.50
Birmingham City & No3.15

1st Half — Birmingham City to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.97
No1.73

1st Half — Derby County to Score

2 outcomes
Yes2.33
No1.54

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.53
Under 0.752.34

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.83
Under 11.88

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.252.28
Under 1.251.56

1st Half — Derby County Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.27
Under 0.51.56

1st Half — Derby County Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.57.00
Under 1.51.07

1st Half — Birmingham City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.93
Under 0.51.78

1st Half — Birmingham City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.55.40
Under 1.51.12

1st Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd2.06
Even1.68

1st Half — Derby County Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes4.05
No1.20

1st Half — Birmingham City Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.15
No1.31

1st Half — Derby County Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.78
No1.93

1st Half — Birmingham City Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.56
No2.27

1st Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Derby County3.05
Birmingham City2.44
No goal2.90

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-02.90
0-14.30
0-212.00
0-346.00
1-05.40
1-17.20
1-221.00
1-391.00
2-019.00
2-127.00
2-280.00
2-3226.00
3-086.00
3-1141.00
3-2276.00
3-3301.00
Any other score16.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Derby County3.35
Draw2.50
Birmingham City2.55

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Derby County / Draw1.48
Derby County / Birmingham City1.47
Draw / Birmingham City1.31

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.35
No1.31

2nd Half — Draw No Bet

2 outcomes
Derby County2.15
Birmingham City1.65

2nd Half — Total Goal Bands

4 outcomes
0 or 11.68
2 or 32.18
4 to 69.10
7 or more29.00

2nd Half — Last Team to Score

3 outcomes
Derby County2.56
Birmingham City2.14
No Goal3.98

2nd Half — Birmingham City Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.78
1-31.66
1-41.64
2-34.30
2-44.10
3-414.00
Any Other2.04

2nd Half — Derby County Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.95
1-31.85
1-41.84
2-35.50
2-45.30
3-421.00
Any Other1.79

2nd Half — Multigoal Interval

7 outcomes
1-21.58
1-31.32
1-41.25
2-32.32
2-42.09
3-44.60
Any Other3.47

2nd Half — Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.22
Under 0.53.83

2nd Half — Result & Both Teams to Score

6 outcomes
Derby County & Yes7.10
Derby County & No2.87
Draw & Yes3.83
Draw & No3.98
Birmingham City & Yes6.00
Birmingham City & No2.37

2nd Half — Birmingham City to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.66
No2.08

2nd Half — Derby County to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.87
No1.83

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.78
Under 1.251.93

2nd Half — Derby County Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.92
Under 0.51.78

2nd Half — Derby County Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.55.40
Under 1.51.12

2nd Half — Derby County Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.511.00
Under 2.51.01

2nd Half — Birmingham City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.69
Under 0.52.05

2nd Half — Birmingham City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.20
Under 1.51.19

2nd Half — Birmingham City Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.59.60
Under 2.51.02

2nd Half — Odd/Even Goals

2 outcomes
Odd1.93
Even1.75

2nd Half — Derby County Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.83
No1.22

2nd Half — Birmingham City Win to Nil

2 outcomes
Yes3.10
No1.32

2nd Half — Derby County Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes2.05
No1.67

2nd Half — Birmingham City Clean Sheet

2 outcomes
Yes1.78
No1.91

2nd Half — First Team to Score

3 outcomes
Derby County2.65
Birmingham City2.17
No goal3.98

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.95
0-14.33
0-29.60
1-05.20
1-16.40
1-215.00
2-014.00
2-119.00
2-250.00
Any other score9.60
0-329.00
1-341.00
2-3111.00
3-051.00
3-156.00
3-2126.00
3-3276.00

Corners

First Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Derby County—
Birmingham City—
No corner101.00

1st Half — First Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Derby County—
Birmingham City—
No corner70.00

Corners Result

3 outcomes
Derby County2.21
Draw6.90
Birmingham City1.91

1st Half — Corners Result

3 outcomes
Derby County2.39
Draw4.70
Birmingham City2.05

Total Corners Bands

5 outcomes
5 or less12.00
6 - 83.23
9 - 112.36
12 - 143.37
15 or more6.30

Birmingham City Corner Bands

4 outcomes
0-26.33
3-43.18
5-63.12
7+2.88

Total Corners Range (3-Way)

3 outcomes
0-82.89
9-112.79
12+2.59

Derby County Corner Bands

4 outcomes
0-25.27
3-42.96
5-63.18
7+3.35

Half with the Most Corners

3 outcomes
1st Half2.57
2nd Half1.69
Equal7.70

Corners Odd/Even

2 outcomes
Odd1.80
Even1.80

1st Half — Birmingham City Exact Corners

4 outcomes
0-12.80
23.75
34.60
4+3.35

1st Half — Derby County Exact Corners

4 outcomes
0-12.55
23.65
34.70
4+3.75

First Corner

2 outcomes
Derby County1.90
Birmingham City1.80

Last Corner

2 outcomes
Derby County1.89
Birmingham City1.85

1st Half — Last Corner (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Derby County—
Birmingham City—
None70.00

Cards

First Yellow Card (3-Way)

3 outcomes
Derby County—
Birmingham City—
No card45.00

Yellow Cards Result

3 outcomes
Derby County2.08
Draw4.10
Birmingham City2.42

1st Half — Yellow Cards Result

3 outcomes
Derby County2.76
Draw2.26
Birmingham City3.03

Yellow Cards Double Chance

3 outcomes
1X1.47
121.20
X21.62

First Yellow Card

2 outcomes
Derby County1.79
Birmingham City1.91

Last Yellow Card

2 outcomes
Derby County1.79
Birmingham City1.91

Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes5.80
No1.09

Birmingham City Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes9.80
No1.03

1st Half — Birmingham City Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes12.00
No1.01

Derby County Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes9.40
No1.04

1st Half — Derby County Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes12.00
No1.01

1st Half — Sending Off

2 outcomes
Yes11.00
No1.01

Derby County – Birmingham City: closing odds analysis

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Birmingham City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 33% for Derby County and 27% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Derby County 3.20 at Stake, the draw 3.70 at bwin, Birmingham City 2.50 at bwin.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.5%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.35 at the opening to 3.70 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Derby County or Birmingham City?

Birmingham City, but only just: the closing odds put 6.6 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Derby County – Birmingham City?

It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Derby County, bwin on the draw and bwin on Birmingham City. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.5%) and bwin the least (88.1%).

Derby County – Birmingham City: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERDERBY COUNTYDRAWBIRMINGHAM CITYPAYOUT
Stake3.20 best price3.302.2093.5%
VBET3.063.212.1791.0%
bwin2.153.70 best price2.50 best price88.1%
BEST PRICE3.203.702.50101.8%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH2.15–3.20 · 48.8%3.21–3.70 · 15.3%2.17–2.50 · 15.2%88.1–93.5%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
Derby County had the widest spread: 2.15 to 3.20 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 48.8%.

How did the Derby County – Birmingham City odds move before kick-off?

The best price on the draw drifted from 3.35 when odds opened on 9 Sep to 3.70 at kick-off, a 10.4% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.503.003.509 Sep11 Sep12 Sep3.703.202.50
DATA
BEST PRICE ATDERBY COUNTYDRAWBIRMINGHAM CITY
Wed 9 Sep (open)3.253.352.37
Fri 11 Sep3.503.252.35
Sat 12 Sep (kick-off)3.203.702.50

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 53.7%.

  • Both teams score54%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Derby County – Birmingham City.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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