Charlton Athletic – Portsmouth odds
Charlton Athletic and Portsmouth went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Charlton Athletic – Portsmouth: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 36% for Charlton Athletic, 29% for a draw and 35% for Portsmouth.
- Best closing odds: Charlton Athletic 2.70 at Stake, the draw 3.30 at bwin, Portsmouth 2.65 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Portsmouth shortened from 2.95 at the opening to 2.65 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Charlton Athletic or Portsmouth?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.5 percentage points between Charlton Athletic and Portsmouth.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Charlton Athletic – Portsmouth?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Charlton Athletic, bwin on the draw and Stake on Portsmouth. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.9%) and bwin the least (87.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | CHARLTON ATHLETIC | DRAW | PORTSMOUTH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.70 best price | 3.15 | 2.65 best price | 93.9% |
| VBET | 2.60 | 3.11 | 2.54 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.30 best price | 2.50 | 87.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 95.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.30–2.70 · 17.4% | 3.11–3.30 · 6.1% | 2.50–2.65 · 6.0% | 87.9–93.9% |
How did the Charlton Athletic – Portsmouth odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Portsmouth shortened from 2.95 when odds opened on 9 Sep to 2.65 at kick-off, a 10.2% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CHARLTON ATHLETIC | DRAW | PORTSMOUTH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 9 Sep (open) | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| Fri 11 Sep | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Sat 12 Sep (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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