Borussia Dortmund – Paderborn odds
Borussia Dortmund went into the match as heavy favourites against Paderborn.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Borussia Dortmund – Paderborn: closing odds analysis
- Borussia Dortmund were favourites: the closing odds implied a 75% chance of a home win, 11% for Paderborn and 15% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Borussia Dortmund 1.29 at bwin, the draw 6.80 at Stake, Paderborn 9.40 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Paderborn shortened from 10.00 at the opening to 9.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Borussia Dortmund or Paderborn?
Borussia Dortmund, by a distance: the closing odds put 64.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Borussia Dortmund – Paderborn?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Borussia Dortmund, Stake on the draw and Stake on Paderborn. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.2%) and bwin the least (95.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | BORUSSIA DORTMUND | DRAW | PADERBORN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.29 best price | 6.80 best price | 9.40 best price | 97.2% |
| VBET | 1.27 | 6.40 | 9.40 best price | 95.2% |
| bwin | 1.29 best price | 6.25 | 8.50 | 95.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.29 | 6.80 | 9.40 | 97.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.27–1.29 · 1.6% | 6.25–6.80 · 8.8% | 8.50–9.40 · 10.6% | 95.0–97.2% |
How did the Borussia Dortmund – Paderborn odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Paderborn shortened from 10.00 when odds opened on 1 Sep to 9.40 at kick-off, a 6.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BORUSSIA DORTMUND | DRAW | PADERBORN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 1 Sep (open) | 1.26 | 6.75 | 10.00 |
| Sun 6 Sep | 1.26 | 6.75 | 10.00 |
| Sat 12 Sep (kick-off) | 1.29 | 6.80 | 9.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Bundesliga odds
- Bayern Munich – 1. FC KölnFri 20 Nov · 20:30
- Bayer Leverkusen – PaderbornSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Borussia Mönchengladbach – Borussia DortmundSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Eintracht Frankfurt – HoffenheimSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- SV Elversberg – FreiburgSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Union Berlin – RB LeipzigSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Schalke 04 – StuttgartSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Augsburg – Mainz 05Sun 22 Nov · 15:30
- Werder Bremen – Hamburger SVSun 22 Nov · 17:30
- Bundesliga odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.