Bolton – Cardiff City odds
Cardiff City went into the match as narrow favourites against Bolton.
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Bolton – Cardiff City: closing odds analysis
- Cardiff City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 34% for Bolton and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Bolton 2.70 at Stake, the draw 3.65 at Stake, Cardiff City 2.35 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.5%.
- The closing odds implied a 65% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Bolton or Cardiff City?
Cardiff City, but only just: the closing odds put 5.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Bolton – Cardiff City?
Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.5%) and bwin the least (88.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | BOLTON | DRAW | CARDIFF CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.70 best price | 3.65 best price | 2.35 best price | 93.5% |
| VBET | 2.62 | 3.57 | 2.29 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 88.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.35 | 93.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–2.70 · 3.8% | 3.40–3.65 · 7.4% | 2.20–2.35 · 6.8% | 88.2–93.5% |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 64.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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