Vendsyssel FF – Aarhus Fremad odds
Vendsyssel FF went into the match as narrow favourites against Aarhus Fremad.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Vendsyssel FF – Aarhus Fremad: closing odds analysis
- Vendsyssel FF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 33% for Aarhus Fremad and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Vendsyssel FF 2.35 at bwin, the draw 3.31 at VBET, Aarhus Fremad 2.80 at Stake.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 90.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 2.49 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Vendsyssel FF or Aarhus Fremad?
Vendsyssel FF, but only just: the closing odds put 6.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Vendsyssel FF – Aarhus Fremad?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Vendsyssel FF, VBET on the draw and Stake on Aarhus Fremad. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (90.8%) and bwin the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | VENDSYSSEL FF | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.32 | 3.31 best price | 2.72 | 90.8% |
| Stake | 2.28 | 3.25 | 2.80 best price | 90.6% |
| bwin | 2.35 best price | 3.25 | 2.70 | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.35 | 3.31 | 2.80 | 92.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.28–2.35 · 3.1% | 3.25–3.31 · 1.8% | 2.70–2.80 · 3.7% | 90.6–90.8% |
How did the Vendsyssel FF – Aarhus Fremad odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 2.49 when odds opened on 9 Sep to 2.80 at kick-off, a 12.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VENDSYSSEL FF | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 9 Sep (open) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.49 |
| Thu 10 Sep | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.49 |
| Fri 11 Sep (kick-off) | 2.35 | 3.31 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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