Hobro IK – Vejle BK odds
Vejle BK went into the match as clear favourites against Hobro IK.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Hobro IK – Vejle BK: closing odds analysis
- Vejle BK were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of an away win, 25% for Hobro IK and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hobro IK 3.65 at Stake, the draw 3.62 at VBET, Vejle BK 1.88 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Vejle BK drifted from 1.81 at the opening to 1.88 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hobro IK or Vejle BK?
Vejle BK, clearly: the closing odds put 24.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hobro IK – Vejle BK?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Hobro IK, VBET on the draw and bwin on Vejle BK. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (91.3%) and Stake the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | HOBRO IK | DRAW | VEJLE BK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.88 best price | 91.3% |
| VBET | 3.61 | 3.62 best price | 1.83 | 90.9% |
| Stake | 3.65 best price | 3.50 | 1.85 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.65 | 3.62 | 1.88 | 92.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.60–3.65 · 1.4% | 3.50–3.62 · 3.4% | 1.83–1.88 · 2.7% | 90.9–91.3% |
How did the Hobro IK – Vejle BK odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Vejle BK drifted from 1.81 when odds opened on 9 Sep to 1.88 at kick-off, a 3.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HOBRO IK | DRAW | VEJLE BK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 9 Sep (open) | 3.70 | 3.75 | 1.81 |
| Thu 10 Sep | 3.70 | 3.75 | 1.81 |
| Fri 11 Sep (kick-off) | 3.65 | 3.62 | 1.88 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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