Man Utd – Sabah odds
Man Utd went into the match as heavy favourites against Sabah.
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Man Utd – Sabah: closing odds analysis
- Man Utd were favourites: the closing odds implied a 78% chance of a home win, 11% for Sabah and 12% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Man Utd 5.00 at bwin, the draw 15.00 at Stake, Sabah 29.00 at VBET.
- Bet25 had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Man Utd drifted from 1.19 at the opening to 5.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Man Utd or Sabah?
Man Utd, by a distance: the closing odds put 67.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Man Utd – Sabah?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Man Utd, Stake on the draw and VBET on Sabah. Across all three outcomes Bet25 paid out the most (95.5%) and bwin the least (89.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | MAN UTD | DRAW | SABAH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet25 | 1.12 | 9.20 | 22.00 | 95.5% |
| VBET | 1.07 | 12.00 | 29.00 best price | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.12 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.12 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 1.12 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 94.9% |
| Casino House | 1.12 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 94.9% |
| Expekt | 1.11 | 9.50 | 19.00 | 94.4% |
| Oddset | 1.11 | 9.25 | 17.50 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 5.00 best price | 3.70 | 1.55 | 89.7% |
| Stake | 1.07 | 15.00 best price | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 1.13 | 15.50 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 5.00 | 15.00 | 29.00 | 332.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.07–5.00 · 367.3% | 1.13–15.00 · 1225.1% | 1.55–29.00 · 1771.0% | 89.7–95.5% |
How did the Man Utd – Sabah odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Man Utd drifted from 1.19 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 5.00 at kick-off, a 320.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MAN UTD | DRAW | SABAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.19 | 9.50 | 29.00 |
| Wed 9 Sep | 5.25 | 9.80 | 26.00 |
| Thu 10 Sep (kick-off) | 5.00 | 15.00 | 29.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 46.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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