Como – RB Leipzig odds
Como went into the match as heavy favourites against RB Leipzig.
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Como – RB Leipzig: closing odds analysis
- Como were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 25% for RB Leipzig and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Como 2.50 at bwin, the draw 4.40 at Stake, RB Leipzig 4.80 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on RB Leipzig drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 4.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 63% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Como or RB Leipzig?
Como, by a distance: the closing odds put 25.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Como – RB Leipzig?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Como, Stake on the draw and VBET on RB Leipzig. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.1%) and bwin the least (89.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | COMO | DRAW | RB LEIPZIG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.71 | 4.40 best price | 4.60 | 97.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.86 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.86 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.86 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.86 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| VBET | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.80 best price | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 1.89 | 3.75 | 3.70 | 93.8% |
| SpreadEx | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 93.6% |
| bwin | 2.50 best price | 3.60 | 2.25 | 89.1% |
| Marathonbet | — | 3.72 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.50 | 4.40 | 4.80 | 119.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.67–2.50 · 49.7% | 3.60–4.40 · 22.2% | 2.25–4.80 · 113.3% | 89.1–97.1% |
How did the Como – RB Leipzig odds move before kick-off?
The best price on RB Leipzig drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 29 Aug to 4.80 at kick-off, a 62.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | COMO | DRAW | RB LEIPZIG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 29 Aug (open) | 2.40 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Fri 4 Sep | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.39 |
| Thu 10 Sep (kick-off) | 2.50 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 63.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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