Sporting CP – Galatasaray odds
Sporting CP went into the match as clear favourites against Galatasaray.
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Sporting CP – Galatasaray: closing odds analysis
- Sporting CP were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 26% for Galatasaray and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sporting CP 3.30 at bwin, the draw 4.40 at VBET, Galatasaray 5.20 at VBET.
- Bet25 had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Galatasaray drifted from 4.10 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sporting CP or Galatasaray?
Sporting CP, clearly: the closing odds put 23.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sporting CP – Galatasaray?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Sporting CP, VBET on the draw and VBET on Galatasaray. Across all three outcomes Bet25 paid out the most (95.4%) and bwin the least (88.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | SPORTING CP | DRAW | GALATASARAY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet25 | 1.87 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 95.4% |
| VBET | 1.59 | 4.40 best price | 5.20 best price | 95.4% |
| Expekt | 1.85 | 3.85 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.81 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.81 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.81 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.81 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 95.0% |
| Betmaster | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.90 | 93.0% |
| bwin | 3.30 best price | 4.00 | 1.73 | 88.4% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 4.35 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 3.30 | 4.40 | 5.20 | 138.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.59–3.30 · 107.5% | 3.55–4.40 · 23.9% | 1.73–5.20 · 200.6% | 88.4–95.4% |
How did the Sporting CP – Galatasaray odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Galatasaray drifted from 4.10 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 5.20 at kick-off, a 26.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SPORTING CP | DRAW | GALATASARAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 3.30 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Wed 9 Sep | 3.40 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| Wed 9 Sep (kick-off) | 3.30 | 4.60 | 5.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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