Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava odds
Paris Saint-Germain went into the match as heavy favourites against Slovan Bratislava.
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Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava: closing odds analysis
- Paris Saint-Germain were favourites: the closing odds implied a 84% chance of a home win, 8% for Slovan Bratislava and 8% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Paris Saint-Germain 6.75 at bwin, the draw 19.00 at SpreadEx, Slovan Bratislava 41.00 at VBET.
- Expekt had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Paris Saint-Germain drifted from 1.16 at the opening to 6.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 41% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Paris Saint-Germain or Slovan Bratislava?
Paris Saint-Germain, by a distance: the closing odds put 76.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Paris Saint-Germain, SpreadEx on the draw and VBET on Slovan Bratislava. Across all three outcomes Expekt paid out the most (95.4%) and bwin the least (89.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | DRAW | SLOVAN BRATISLAVA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expekt | 1.05 | 15.00 | 34.00 | 95.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.05 | 14.00 | 36.00 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.05 | 14.00 | 36.00 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.05 | 14.00 | 36.00 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.05 | 14.00 | 36.00 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 1.04 | 16.00 | 36.00 | 95.1% |
| SpreadEx | 1.03 | 19.00 best price | 34.00 | 95.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.04 | 15.00 | 40.00 | 94.9% |
| VBET | 1.03 | 17.00 | 41.00 best price | 94.9% |
| Betmaster | 1.04 | 15.00 | 30.00 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 6.75 best price | 3.50 | 1.47 | 89.8% |
| Marathonbet | — | 1.04 | 20.00 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 6.75 | 19.00 | 41.00 | 444.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.03–6.75 · 555.3% | 1.04–19.00 · 1723.4% | 1.47–41.00 · 2689.1% | 89.8–95.4% |
How did the Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Paris Saint-Germain drifted from 1.16 when odds opened on 29 Aug to 6.75 at kick-off, a 481.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | DRAW | SLOVAN BRATISLAVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 29 Aug (open) | 1.16 | 11.00 | 30.00 |
| Fri 4 Sep | 1.12 | 15.00 | 35.00 |
| Wed 9 Sep (kick-off) | 6.75 | 20.00 | 60.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 40.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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