Lille – Real Betis odds
Lille went into the match as clear favourites against Real Betis.
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Lille – Real Betis: closing odds analysis
- Lille were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of a home win, 30% for Real Betis and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lille 2.60 at bwin, the draw 4.00 at bwin, Real Betis 3.67 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Real Betis drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.67 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lille or Real Betis?
Lille, clearly: the closing odds put 13.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lille – Real Betis?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Lille, bwin on the draw and VBET on Real Betis. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.9%) and bwin the least (89.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | LILLE | DRAW | REAL BETIS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.17 | 3.55 | 3.45 | 96.9% |
| VBET | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.67 best price | 96.2% |
| Oddset | 2.23 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 95.6% |
| CampoBet | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 2.20 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 95.0% |
| Bet25 | 2.21 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 94.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.20 | 3.42 | 3.22 | 94.6% |
| SpreadEx | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 94.1% |
| GetLucky | 2.18 | 3.39 | 3.19 | 93.7% |
| Casinostuen | 2.18 | 3.39 | 3.19 | 93.7% |
| Betmaster | 2.21 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 93.2% |
| bwin | 2.60 best price | 4.00 best price | 2.05 | 89.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.60 | 4.00 | 3.67 | 110.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.08–2.60 · 25.0% | 3.25–4.00 · 23.1% | 2.05–3.67 · 79.0% | 89.1–96.9% |
How did the Lille – Real Betis odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Real Betis drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 29 Aug to 3.67 at kick-off, a 24.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LILLE | DRAW | REAL BETIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 29 Aug (open) | 2.55 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
| Thu 3 Sep | 2.37 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Tue 8 Sep (kick-off) | 2.60 | 4.00 | 3.67 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 58.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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