Club Brugge – Aston Villa odds
Club Brugge and Aston Villa went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Club Brugge – Aston Villa: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Club Brugge, 27% for a draw and 36% for Aston Villa.
- Best closing odds: Club Brugge 2.65 at bwin, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Aston Villa 2.76 at VBET.
- Bet25 had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Club Brugge shortened from 3.10 at the opening to 2.65 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Club Brugge or Aston Villa?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.6 percentage points between Club Brugge and Aston Villa.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Club Brugge – Aston Villa?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Club Brugge, bwin on the draw and VBET on Aston Villa. Across all three outcomes Bet25 paid out the most (96.5%) and bwin the least (89.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | CLUB BRUGGE | DRAW | ASTON VILLA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet25 | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.70 | 96.5% |
| VBET | 2.51 | 3.58 | 2.76 best price | 96.1% |
| Oddset | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.70 | 95.8% |
| Stake | 2.49 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 95.2% |
| Expekt | 2.50 | 3.55 | 2.70 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.50 | 3.60 best price | 2.66 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 2.50 | 3.60 best price | 2.66 | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 2.50 | 3.60 best price | 2.66 | 94.9% |
| ComeOn | 2.53 | 3.52 | 2.67 | 94.9% |
| SpreadEx | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 94.7% |
| GetLucky | 2.50 | 3.48 | 2.65 | 93.9% |
| Casinostuen | 2.50 | 3.48 | 2.65 | 93.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 93.2% |
| bwin | 2.65 best price | 3.60 best price | 2.15 | 89.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.65 | 3.60 | 2.76 | 98.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.49–2.65 · 6.4% | 3.30–3.60 · 9.1% | 2.15–2.76 · 28.4% | 89.3–96.5% |
How did the Club Brugge – Aston Villa odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Club Brugge shortened from 3.10 when odds opened on 29 Aug to 2.65 at kick-off, a 14.5% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CLUB BRUGGE | DRAW | ASTON VILLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 29 Aug (open) | 3.10 | 3.59 | 2.44 |
| Thu 3 Sep | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| Tue 8 Sep (kick-off) | 2.65 | 3.60 | 2.76 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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