Málaga – Levante odds
Málaga went into the match as narrow favourites against Levante.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Málaga – Levante: closing odds analysis
- Málaga were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 32% for Levante and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Málaga 2.47 at Stake, the draw 3.40 at Stake, Levante 3.05 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Levante shortened from 3.40 at the opening to 3.05 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Málaga or Levante?
Málaga, but only just: the closing odds put 7.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Málaga – Levante?
Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.4%) and VBET the least (92.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | MÁLAGA | DRAW | LEVANTE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.47 best price | 3.40 best price | 3.05 best price | 97.4% |
| bwin | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 93.9% |
| VBET | 2.38 | 3.14 | 2.93 | 92.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.47 | 3.40 | 3.05 | 97.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.38–2.47 · 3.8% | 3.14–3.40 · 8.3% | 2.90–3.05 · 5.2% | 92.6–97.4% |
How did the Málaga – Levante odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Levante shortened from 3.40 when odds opened on 30 Aug to 3.05 at kick-off, a 10.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MÁLAGA | DRAW | LEVANTE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 30 Aug (open) | 2.28 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Wed 2 Sep | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| Sun 6 Sep (kick-off) | 2.47 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More La Liga odds
- Athletic Club – EspanyolFri 20 Nov · 21:00
- Deportivo Alavés – Deportivo La CoruñaSat 21 Nov · 14:00
- Rayo Vallecano – ValenciaSat 21 Nov · 16:15
- Sevilla – Real BetisSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Real Madrid – Celta VigoSat 21 Nov · 21:00
- Barcelona – VillarrealSun 22 Nov · 14:00
- Racing Santander – Real SociedadSun 22 Nov · 16:15
- Osasuna – MálagaSun 22 Nov · 18:30
- Getafe – Atlético MadridSun 22 Nov · 21:00
- Levante – ElcheMon 23 Nov · 21:00
- La Liga odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.