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BUNDESLIGA · SUN 6 SEP · 15:30

Hamburger SV – Mainz 05 odds

Mainz 05 went into the match as narrow favourites against Hamburger SV.

75 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Hamburger SV 33%Draw 28%Mainz 05 39%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
97.1%
vs 94.4% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV2.95
Draw3.50
Mainz 052.47

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV / Draw1.58
Hamburger SV / Mainz 051.34
Draw / Mainz 051.44

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.24
Under 0.54.10

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.58
Under 1.52.20

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.95
Under 2.51.35

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.75
Under 3.51.95

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.65
Under 4.51.42

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.51.95
Under 5.51.75

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.52.65
Under 6.51.42

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.22
Under 7.53.90

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.40
Under 8.52.70

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.68
Under 9.52.00

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.15
Under 10.51.62

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.52.85
Under 11.51.37

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.53.90
Under 12.51.21

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.63
No2.30

Handicap -2

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV (-2)10.00
Draw—
Mainz 05 (+2)1.17

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV (-1)5.50
Draw—
Mainz 05 (+1)1.41

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV (+1)1.53
Draw—
Mainz 05 (-1)4.50

Handicap +2

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV (+2)1.18
Draw—
Mainz 05 (-2)9.75

Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.05
Under 0.759.00

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.05
Under 19.20

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.14
Under 1.255.40

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.23
Under 1.54.10

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.27
Under 1.753.65

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.34
Under 23.20

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.54
Under 2.252.44

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.74
Under 2.52.07

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.751.92
Under 2.751.86

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.21
Under 31.65

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.252.49
Under 3.251.52

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.75
Under 3.51.43

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.753.30
Under 3.751.32

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 44.30
Under 41.21

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes
Over 4.254.70
Under 4.251.18

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes
Over 4.55.00
Under 4.51.16

Hamburger SV Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.29
Under 0.53.55

Hamburger SV Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.34
Under 1.51.58

Hamburger SV Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.55.60
Under 2.51.15

Mainz 05 Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.23
Under 0.54.10

Mainz 05 Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.10
Under 1.51.71

Mainz 05 Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.54.60
Under 2.51.20

Correct Score

60 outcomes
0-015.00
0-110.00
0-213.00
0-324.00
0-460.00
1-011.00
1-16.80
1-29.20
1-318.00
1-445.00
2-015.00
2-110.00
2-211.50
2-326.00
2-470.00
3-035.00
3-122.00
3-228.00
3-350.00
3-4151.00
4-0100.00
4-160.00
4-280.00
4-3151.00
4-4351.00
Any other score24.00
5-0141.00
6-0176.00
5-1101.00
6-1151.00
7-1251.00
5-2126.00
6-2176.00
7-2226.00
5-3176.00
6-3226.00
5-4301.00
0-596.00
1-576.00
2-5101.00
3-5151.00
4-5301.00
5-5301.00
0-6126.00
1-6126.00
2-6151.00
3-6176.00
4-6301.00
0-7251.00
1-7226.00
2-7251.00
3-7301.00
2-8276.00
8-3301.00
7-3276.00
7-0301.00
6-4276.00
1-8301.00
8-1301.00
0-8301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV3.40
Draw2.32
Mainz 053.00

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV / Draw1.40
Hamburger SV / Mainz 051.59
Draw / Mainz 051.32

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.90
No1.24

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.34
Under 0.53.25

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.46
Under 0.752.65

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.69
Under 12.14

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.252.11
Under 1.251.71

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.50
Under 1.51.51

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.753.15
Under 1.751.35

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 24.70
Under 21.18

1st Half — Hamburger SV Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.07
Under 0.51.73

1st Half — Hamburger SV Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.56.40
Under 1.51.11

1st Half — Mainz 05 Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.93
Under 0.51.84

1st Half — Mainz 05 Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.55.60
Under 1.51.14

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.25
0-14.60
0-212.00
1-05.20
1-16.60
1-219.00
2-015.00
2-121.00
2-260.00
Any other score13.00
0-331.00
1-346.00
2-3126.00
3-041.00
3-156.00
3-2141.00
3-3301.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV3.10
Draw2.70
Mainz 052.75

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Hamburger SV / Draw1.49
Hamburger SV / Mainz 051.50
Draw / Mainz 051.40

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.05
No1.37

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.30
Under 0.753.45

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.36
Under 13.10

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.66
Under 1.252.18

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.96
Under 1.51.82

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.32
Under 1.751.59

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 23.10
Under 21.36

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.253.55
Under 2.251.28

2nd Half — Hamburger SV Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.78
Under 0.52.01

2nd Half — Hamburger SV Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.70
Under 1.51.18

2nd Half — Hamburger SV Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.512.00
Under 2.51.02

2nd Half — Mainz 05 Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.68
Under 0.52.16

2nd Half — Mainz 05 Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.20
Under 1.51.22

2nd Half — Mainz 05 Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.511.00
Under 2.51.03

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-04.60
0-14.70
0-210.00
1-05.00
1-16.00
1-214.00
2-012.00
2-115.00
2-235.00
Any other score8.00
0-325.00
1-331.00
2-371.00
3-031.00
3-136.00
3-281.00
3-3176.00

Hamburger SV – Mainz 05: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Mainz 05 were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 33% for Hamburger SV and 28% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Hamburger SV 2.95 at Stake, the draw 3.50 at Stake, Mainz 05 2.47 at Stake.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.1%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Hamburger SV drifted from 2.55 at the opening to 2.95 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 59% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Hamburger SV or Mainz 05?

Mainz 05, but only just: the closing odds put 6.2 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hamburger SV – Mainz 05?

Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.1%) and VBET the least (92.5%).

Hamburger SV – Mainz 05: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERHAMBURGER SVDRAWMAINZ 05PAYOUT
Stake2.95 best price3.50 best price2.47 best price97.1%
bwin2.803.402.4093.6%
VBET2.823.342.3492.5%
BEST PRICE2.953.502.4797.1%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH2.80–2.95 · 5.4%3.34–3.50 · 4.8%2.34–2.47 · 5.6%92.5–97.1%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
Mainz 05 had the widest spread: 2.34 to 2.47 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 5.6%.

How did the Hamburger SV – Mainz 05 odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Hamburger SV drifted from 2.55 when odds opened on 26 Aug to 2.95 at kick-off, a 15.7% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.503.003.5026 Aug31 Aug6 Sep3.502.952.47
DATA
BEST PRICE ATHAMBURGER SVDRAWMAINZ 05
Wed 26 Aug (open)2.553.552.65
Mon 31 Aug2.803.602.41
Sun 6 Sep (kick-off)2.953.502.47

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 58.6%.

  • Both teams score59%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Hamburger SV – Mainz 05.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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