Brøndby IF – Randers FC odds
Brøndby IF went into the match as heavy favourites against Randers FC.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Brøndby IF – Randers FC: closing odds analysis
- Brøndby IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 58% chance of a home win, 20% for Randers FC and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brøndby IF 1.65 at bwin, the draw 4.30 at VBET, Randers FC 5.00 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Randers FC shortened from 5.50 at the opening to 5.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brøndby IF or Randers FC?
Brøndby IF, by a distance: the closing odds put 38.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brøndby IF – Randers FC?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Brøndby IF, VBET on the draw and VBET on Randers FC. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and Stake the least (94.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRØNDBY IF | DRAW | RANDERS FC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.62 | 4.30 best price | 5.00 best price | 95.3% |
| bwin | 1.65 best price | 4.10 | 4.80 | 94.5% |
| Stake | 1.64 | 4.20 | 4.70 | 94.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.65 | 4.30 | 5.00 | 96.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.62–1.65 · 1.9% | 4.10–4.30 · 4.9% | 4.70–5.00 · 6.4% | 94.3–95.3% |
How did the Brøndby IF – Randers FC odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Randers FC shortened from 5.50 when odds opened on 31 Aug to 5.00 at kick-off, a 9.1% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRØNDBY IF | DRAW | RANDERS FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 31 Aug (open) | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Thu 3 Sep | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Sun 6 Sep (kick-off) | 1.65 | 4.30 | 5.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 58.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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