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BUNDESLIGA · SAT 5 SEP · 15:30

Paderborn – Freiburg odds

Freiburg went into the match as clear favourites against Paderborn.

74 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Paderborn 26%Draw 25%Freiburg 49%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
97.3%
vs 94.5% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Paderborn3.75
Draw3.95
Freiburg1.97

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Paderborn / Draw1.87
Paderborn / Freiburg1.29
Draw / Freiburg1.31

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.16
Under 0.55.50

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.61
Under 1.52.15

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.53.00
Under 2.51.33

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.68
Under 3.52.05

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.50
Under 4.51.46

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.52.80
Under 5.51.38

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.51.17
Under 6.54.50

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.34
Under 7.52.95

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.62
Under 8.52.15

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.52.05
Under 9.51.68

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.70
Under 10.51.40

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.53.80
Under 11.51.23

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.55.50
Under 12.51.12

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.57
No2.46

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Paderborn (-1)7.00
Draw—
Freiburg (+1)1.29

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Paderborn (+1)1.80
Draw—
Freiburg (-1)3.25

Handicap +2

3 outcomes
Paderborn (+2)1.29
Draw—
Freiburg (-2)6.25

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.04
Under 110.00

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.10
Under 1.256.60

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.17
Under 1.55.00

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.20
Under 1.754.40

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.24
Under 23.95

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.40
Under 2.252.90

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.56
Under 2.52.39

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.751.68
Under 2.752.15

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 31.87
Under 31.90

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.252.11
Under 3.251.70

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.35
Under 3.51.58

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.752.75
Under 3.751.44

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 43.40
Under 41.30

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes
Over 4.253.75
Under 4.251.26

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes
Over 4.54.10
Under 4.51.23

Asian Total 4.75

2 outcomes
Over 4.755.00
Under 4.751.16

Paderborn Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.32
Under 0.53.35

Paderborn Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.46
Under 1.51.53

Paderborn Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.56.00
Under 2.51.13

Freiburg Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.15
Under 0.55.60

Freiburg Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.71
Under 1.52.11

Freiburg Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.53.15
Under 2.51.35

Correct Score

60 outcomes
0-019.00
0-111.00
0-211.00
0-317.00
0-435.00
1-015.00
1-17.80
1-28.40
1-313.50
1-428.00
2-022.00
2-112.00
2-212.00
2-320.00
2-440.00
3-050.00
3-127.00
3-229.00
3-340.00
3-4100.00
4-0151.00
4-180.00
4-290.00
4-3151.00
4-4251.00
Any other score15.00
5-0151.00
6-0201.00
5-1126.00
6-1151.00
7-1301.00
5-2126.00
6-2151.00
7-2301.00
5-3151.00
6-3201.00
5-4301.00
0-556.00
1-546.00
2-567.00
3-5111.00
4-5301.00
5-5301.00
0-681.00
1-691.00
2-6101.00
3-6176.00
4-6276.00
0-7176.00
1-7151.00
2-7176.00
3-7226.00
2-8301.00
1-8201.00
6-4301.00
3-8301.00
0-8226.00
7-3301.00
6-5301.00
0-9301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Paderborn4.00
Draw2.49
Freiburg2.44

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Paderborn / Draw1.56
Paderborn / Freiburg1.52
Draw / Freiburg1.26

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.55
No1.28

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.28
Under 0.53.70

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.37
Under 0.753.05

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.53
Under 12.47

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.89
Under 1.251.88

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.25
Under 1.51.62

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.75
Under 1.751.44

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 23.90
Under 21.25

1st Half — Paderborn Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.15
Under 0.51.68

1st Half — Paderborn Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.56.80
Under 1.51.10

1st Half — Freiburg Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.68
Under 0.52.15

1st Half — Freiburg Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.20
Under 1.51.22

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.70
0-14.20
0-28.80
1-06.00
1-16.60
1-215.00
2-019.00
2-122.00
2-250.00
Any other score10.00
0-323.00
1-334.00
2-396.00
3-051.00
3-161.00
3-2126.00
3-3301.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Paderborn3.65
Draw2.90
Freiburg2.27

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Paderborn / Draw1.66
Paderborn / Freiburg1.45
Draw / Freiburg1.32

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes2.80
No1.43

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.24
Under 0.753.95

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.28
Under 13.60

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.54
Under 1.252.44

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.79
Under 1.51.99

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.06
Under 1.751.74

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 22.60
Under 21.48

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.253.05
Under 2.251.37

2nd Half — Paderborn Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.83
Under 0.51.95

2nd Half — Paderborn Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.55.00
Under 1.51.16

2nd Half — Paderborn Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.513.00
Under 2.51.02

2nd Half — Freiburg Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.49
Under 0.52.55

2nd Half — Freiburg Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.25
Under 1.51.33

2nd Half — Freiburg Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.58.20
Under 2.51.07

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-05.40
0-14.50
0-28.20
1-06.00
1-16.00
1-212.00
2-016.00
2-116.00
2-230.00
Any other score6.20
0-317.00
1-321.00
2-351.00
3-036.00
3-136.00
3-267.00
3-3151.00

Paderborn – Freiburg: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Freiburg were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of an away win, 26% for Paderborn and 25% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Paderborn 3.75 at Stake, the draw 3.95 at Stake, Freiburg 1.97 at Stake.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Paderborn drifted from 2.85 at the opening to 3.75 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Paderborn or Freiburg?

Freiburg, clearly: the closing odds put 22.9 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Paderborn – Freiburg?

Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.3%) and VBET the least (92.5%).

Paderborn – Freiburg: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERPADERBORNDRAWFREIBURGPAYOUT
Stake3.75 best price3.95 best price1.97 best price97.3%
bwin3.503.701.9593.6%
VBET3.613.721.8792.5%
BEST PRICE3.753.951.9797.3%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH3.50–3.75 · 7.1%3.70–3.95 · 6.8%1.87–1.97 · 5.3%92.5–97.3%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
Paderborn had the widest spread: 3.50 to 3.75 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 7.1%.

How did the Paderborn – Freiburg odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Paderborn drifted from 2.85 when odds opened on 25 Aug to 3.75 at kick-off, a 31.6% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.003.004.0025 Aug30 Aug5 Sep3.953.751.97
DATA
BEST PRICE ATPADERBORNDRAWFREIBURG
Tue 25 Aug (open)2.853.502.42
Sun 30 Aug2.853.602.44
Sat 5 Sep (kick-off)3.753.951.97

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 61.0%.

  • Both teams score61%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Paderborn – Freiburg.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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